DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2017.02.002
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85014617584
论文题名: Climate change impacts and adaptation options for the Greek agriculture in 2021–2050: A monetary assessment
作者: Georgopoulou E. ; Mirasgedis S. ; Sarafidis Y. ; Vitaliotou M. ; Lalas D.P. ; Theloudis I. ; Giannoulaki K.-D. ; Dimopoulos D. ; Zavras V.
刊名: Climate Risk Management
ISSN: 22120963
出版年: 2017
卷: 16 起始页码: 164
结束页码: 182
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Adaptation
; Agriculture
; Climate change
; Economic assessment
; Impacts
英文摘要: The paper presents a quantitative assessment of mid-term (2021–2050) climate change impacts on and potential adaptation options for selected crops in Greece that are of importance in terms of their share in national agricultural production and gross value added. Central points in the assessment are the monetary evaluation of impacts and the cost-benefit analysis of adaptation options. To address local variability in current and future climate conditions, analysis is spatially disaggregated into geographical regions using as an input downscaled results from climatic models. For some crops (cereals, vegetables, pulses, grapevines), changes in future agricultural yields are assessed by means of agronomic simulation models, while for the rest crops changes are assessed through regression models. The expected effects on crop yields of a number of potential adaptation options are also investigated through the same models, and the costs and benefits of these options are also quantitatively assessed. The findings indicate that climate change may create winners and losers depending on their agricultural activity and location, while adaptation can mitigate adverse effects of climate change under cost-effective terms. © 2017
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/58990
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: National Observatory of Athens/IERSD, I. Metaxa & Vas. Pavlou, Palea Penteli, Greece; FACE3TS S.A., 1 Agiou Isidorou str., Athens, Greece; Piraeus Bank S.A., Environment Unit, 4 Amerikis str., Athens, Greece
Recommended Citation:
Georgopoulou E.,Mirasgedis S.,Sarafidis Y.,et al. Climate change impacts and adaptation options for the Greek agriculture in 2021–2050: A monetary assessment[J]. Climate Risk Management,2017-01-01,16