DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.01.004
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84924359028
论文题名: Mapping the decision points and climate information use of agricultural producers across the U.S. Corn Belt
作者: Haigh T. ; Takle E. ; Andresen J. ; Widhalm M. ; Carlton J.S. ; Angel J.
刊名: Climate Risk Management
ISSN: 22120963
出版年: 2015
卷: 7 起始页码: 20
结束页码: 30
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Agriculture
; Climate tools
; Decision calendar
; Maps
英文摘要: The usefulness of climate information for agricultural risk management hinges on its availability and relevance to the producer when climate-sensitive decisions are being made. Climate information providers are challenged with the task of balancing forecast availability and lead time with acceptable forecast skill, which requires an improved understanding of the timing of agricultural decision making. Achieving a useful balance may also require an expansion of inquiry to include use of non-forecast climate information (i.e. historical climate information) in agricultural decision making. Decision calendars have proven valuable for identifying opportunities for using different types of climate information. The extent to which decision-making time periods are localized versus generalized across major commodity-producing regions is yet unknown, though, which has limited their use in climate product development. Based on a 2012 survey of more than 4770 agricultural producers across the U.S. Corn Belt region, we found variation in the timing of decision-making points in the crop year based on geographic variation as well as crop management differences. Many key decisions in the cropping year take place during the preceding fall and winter, months before planting, raising questions about types of climate information that might be best inserted into risk management decisions at that time. We found that historical climate information and long term climate outlooks are less influential in agricultural risk management than current weather, short term forecasts, or monthly climate projections, even though they may, in fact, be more useful to certain types of decision making. © 2015 The Authors. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/59033
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska - Lincoln, 3310 Holdrege Street, Lincoln, NE, United States; Iowa State University, 3013 Agronomy, Ames, IA, United States; Michigan State University, 673 Auditorium Rd, East Lansing, MI, United States; Purdue University, 195 Marsteller Street, West Lafayette, IN, United States; Texas Sea Grant/Texas A and M University, P.O. Box 1675, Galveston, TX, United States; Illinois State Water Survey, University of Illinois, 2204 Griffith Drive, Champaign, IL, United States
Recommended Citation:
Haigh T.,Takle E.,Andresen J.,et al. Mapping the decision points and climate information use of agricultural producers across the U.S. Corn Belt[J]. Climate Risk Management,2015-01-01,7