DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.06.004
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84947484449
论文题名: Assessing an indirect health implication of a changing climate: Ross River Virus in a temperate island state
作者: Lyth A. ; Holbrook N.J.
刊名: Climate Risk Management
ISSN: 22120963
出版年: 2015
卷: 10 起始页码: 77
结束页码: 94
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Adaptation planning
; Climate change and human health
; Ross River virus
; Tasmania
; Vector borne disease
; Vulnerability assessment
英文摘要: In Tasmania, a temperate island state of Australia, there is little understood about the human health implications of a changing climate. Here, we investigate the hypothesis that human populations in Tasmania might become more vulnerable to Ross River virus (RRV) under climate change, Australia's most significant vector-borne disease. Importantly, our study considers the complex social-ecological systems based setting that this virus represents, with our approach being underpinned by systems thinking. Specifically, we undertake an integrated and participatory assessment of potential human vulnerability to RRV in a changing climate, and taking account of other parallel, non-climate regional-scale change considerations. We show that projected moderate changes in Tasmania's climate will have implications for the State's human health, whereby Tasmania is likely to become more vulnerable to RRV as the 21st Century progresses, shifting this health issue from a relatively low public health risk to one that will become more concerning and costly. The study assists us to contemplate how we frame human health questions as we move into a climatically changing world and reminds us that health impacts will not always be linear or obvious. It demonstrates an approach for scoping indirect and potentially insidious implications of climate change, even in the face of uncertainty, imperfect systems understanding, and limited resources, to inform a range of decision makers. © 2015 The Authors. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/59038
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Geography and Spatial Sciences, School of Land and Food, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia; Sustainability Research Centre, University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, QLD, Australia; Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Hobart, TAS, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Lyth A.,Holbrook N.J.. Assessing an indirect health implication of a changing climate: Ross River Virus in a temperate island state[J]. Climate Risk Management,2015-01-01,10