DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.06.007
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84947491097
论文题名: Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions
作者: Daron J.D. ; Lorenz S. ; Wolski P. ; Blamey R.C. ; Jack C.
刊名: Climate Risk Management
ISSN: 22120963
出版年: 2015
卷: 10 起始页码: 17
结束页码: 26
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Africa
; Climate change
; Communication
; Confidence
; Uncertainty
英文摘要: The appropriate development of graphical visualisations to communicate climate data is fundamental to the provision of climate services to guide climate change adaptation decisions. However, at present there is a lack of empirical evidence, particularly in Africa, to help climate information providers determine how best to communicate and display climate data. To help address this issue, an online survey, primarily targeted at the African vulnerability, impacts and adaptation community, was designed and disseminated widely. The survey examines the interpretation of climate data as a function of the style and information content of graphical visualisations. It is shown that choices made when constructing the visualisations, such as presenting percentile information versus showing the range, significantly impact on interpretation. Results also show that respondents who interpret a higher likelihood of future changes to climate, based on the visualisation of climate model projections, express greater confidence in their interpretations. The findings have relevance to the climate risk community in Africa and elsewhere across the world, and imply that a naïve approach to visualising climate data risks misinterpretation and unjustified levels of trust, with the potential to misinform adaptation and policy decisions. © 2015. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/59051
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Climate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Met Office, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, United Kingdom; Sustainability Research Institute, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
Daron J.D.,Lorenz S.,Wolski P.,et al. Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions[J]. Climate Risk Management,2015-01-01,10