DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.06.001
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84947489955
论文题名: Decision-centric adaptation appraisal for water management across Colorado's Continental Divide
作者: Yates D.N. ; Miller K.A. ; Wilby R.L. ; Kaatz L.
刊名: Climate Risk Management
ISSN: 22120963
出版年: 2015
卷: 10 起始页码: 35
结束页码: 50
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Decision-centric assessment
; Drought
; Integrated modeling
; Water law
英文摘要: A multi-step decision support process was developed and applied to the physically and legally complex case of water diversions from the Upper Colorado River across the Continental Divide to serve cities and farms along Colorado's Front Range. We illustrate our approach by simulating the performance of an existing drought-response measure, the Shoshone Call Relaxation Agreement (SCRA) [the adaptation measure], using the Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) tool [the hydrologic cycle and water systems model]; and the Statistical DownScaling Model (SDSM-DC) [the stochastic climate scenario generator]. Scenarios relevant to the decision community were analyzed and results indicate that this drought management measure would provide only a small storage benefit in offsetting the impacts of a shift to a warmer and drier future climate coupled with related environmental changes. The analysis demonstrates the importance of engaging water managers in the development of credible and computationally efficient decision support tools that accurately capture the physical, legal and contractual dimensions of their climate risk management problems. © 2015 The Authors. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/59054
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Research Applications Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Geography, Loughborough University, Loughborough, Leicestershire, United Kingdom; Planning Division, Denver Water, Denver, CO, United States
Recommended Citation:
Yates D.N.,Miller K.A.,Wilby R.L.,et al. Decision-centric adaptation appraisal for water management across Colorado's Continental Divide[J]. Climate Risk Management,2015-01-01,10