globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.02.022
论文题名:
Increasing temperature exacerbated Classic Maya conflict over the long term
作者: Carleton W.C.; Campbell D.; Collard M.
刊名: Quaternary Science Reviews
出版年: 2017
卷: 163
起始页码: 209
结束页码: 218
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Archaeology ; Classic Maya ; Climate change ; Conflict ; Holocene ; Human-environment interaction ; North America ; Raiding ; Warfare
Scopus关键词: Military operations ; Rain ; Archaeology ; Classic Maya ; Conflict ; Holocenes ; Human-environment interaction ; North America ; Raiding ; Climate change
英文摘要: The impact of climate change on conflict is an important but controversial topic. One issue that needs to be resolved is whether or not climate change exacerbates conflict over the long term. With this in mind, we investigated the relationship between climate change and conflict among Classic Maya polities over a period of several hundred years (363–888 CE). We compiled a list of conflicts recorded on dated monuments, and then located published temperature and rainfall records for the region. Subsequently, we used a recently developed time-series method to investigate the impact of the climatic variables on the frequency of conflict while controlling for trends in monument number. We found that there was a substantial increase in conflict in the approximately 500 years covered by the dataset. This increase could not be explained by change in the amount of rainfall. In contrast, the increase was strongly associated with an increase in summer temperature. These finding have implications not only for Classic Maya history but also for the debate about the likely effects of contemporary climate change. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd
资助项目: Collard, M. ; Human Evolutionary Studies Program and Department of Archaeology, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Canada ; 电子邮件: mcollard@sfu.ca
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/59263
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Human Evolutionary Studies Program and Department of Archaeology, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada; Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada; Department of Archaeology, University of Aberdeen, St Mary's Building, Elphinstone Road, Aberdeen, United Kingdom

Recommended Citation:
Carleton W.C.,Campbell D.,Collard M.. Increasing temperature exacerbated Classic Maya conflict over the long term[J]. Quaternary Science Reviews,2017-01-01,163
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