globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.12.010
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85007336056
论文题名:
Zonal assessment of environmental driven settlement abandonment in the Trans-Tisza region (Central Europe) during the early phase of the Little Ice Age
作者: Pinke Z.; Ferenczi L.; Romhányi B.F.; Gyulai F.; Laszlovszky J.; Mravcsik Z.; Pósa P.; Gábris G.
刊名: Quaternary Science Reviews
ISSN: 2773791
出版年: 2017
卷: 157
起始页码: 98
结束页码: 113
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Agro-ecological suitability ; Archeobotanical reconstruction ; Great Hungarian Plain ; Hydroclimatic impact on society ; Late medieval climate change ; LIA ; Lowland society
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Ecology ; Glacial geology ; Water levels ; Ecological suitability ; Hungarians ; Hydroclimatic ; Lowland society ; Permanent settlements ; Regression coefficient ; Settlement patterns ; Structural transformation ; Plants (botany) ; abandoned land ; agroecology ; archaeology ; elevation ; fossil record ; geomorphology ; humid environment ; hydrological change ; hydrometeorology ; Little Ice Age ; lowland environment ; Medieval ; Medieval Warm Period ; Middle Ages ; reconstruction ; regression analysis ; settlement pattern ; social impact assessment ; Alfold ; Central Europe ; Hungary ; Tisza Valley
英文摘要: This investigation focuses on the transformation of the settlement pattern of a lowland landscape as a social response to the hydrological challenges emerging in the late 13th century (c.) overture of the Little Ice Age (LIA). Results of the applied zonal analysis suggested a strong spatial connection between the geomorphological conditions, the agro-ecological suitability (good-excellent, medium and low) and the stability or instability of settlement patterns. The elevation means of archaeological sites in the deserted zones proved significantly lower than those in zones with permanent settlement pattern (Brunner-Munzel test p ≤ 0.01; n = 377). Additionally, the late medieval (14th-mid-16th centuries) site group was situated, on average, significantly higher than the high medieval (late 10th-13th centuries) site group within the permanent zones (Brunner-Munzel test p ≤ 0.01; n = 219). These outcomes statistically confirm that not only did low-lying inhabited areas shrink significantly, but they also displaced vertically in the first phase of the LIA. When analysing the relation of settlement pattern to soil conditions, the proportion of areas with good-excellent agro-ecological suitability proved 1.5–2 times higher in the permanent zones than in the deserted and uninhabited settlement suitability zones. Using the linear model, different regression coefficients appeared between the extension of the high and medium agro-ecological suitability zones and the number of high and late medieval settlements. The different coefficients in the studied two periods suggest that the issue of agroecological suitability in the High Middle Ages did not bear such importance as in the late Middle Ages. The findings of the paper may contribute to answering the question why the relatively dense settlement pattern of the deserted zones was abandoned almost completely by the end of the 13th c. in areas where flood proneness and weak agro-ecological suitability both meant a serious risk for human communities. Finally, we presumed that if hydro-climatic changes increased water levels, they must have changed the plant composition of the studied landscape as well. Chi-squared test of macrofossil plant remains (narchaeological site = 55; ntaxon = 330) shows that the second part of the 13th c. saw the ratio of species from humid habitat types grow (Χ² = 7.81; df = 1; p = 0.02). Comparison of the two studied processes indicates a broad synchronism between the shrinkage of inhabited areas and the increasing proportion of plants with humid environment tolerance during the second part of the 13th c. The reconstructed transformations in the composition of plant remains and settlement structure signal not a mere transitional change, but a 'longue durée' structural transformation of the landscape. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd
资助项目: Special thanks to H. Herold, L. Leopold, B. Szabó and G. Timár for their kind help in our work. This research was supported by the European Union and the State of Hungary, co-financed by the European Social Fund in the framework of TÁMOP-4.2.4.A/2-11/1-2012-0001 ‘National Excellence Program’ as well as by the Hungarian National Office of Cultural Heritage. The paper emerged as a result of Zsolt Pinke's doctoral research program and an interdisciplinary cooperation have been presented at the PAGES conference organized by the Hungarian Academy of Science, Budapest, in May 2014, addressing Climate History, as well as at the PAGES Landcover6k and EuroMed2k methodological workshops, at the University Pierre and Marie Curie, Paris and at University of Gdansk in 2015 financed by the the US and Swiss National Science Foundations, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the University of Bern, finally at Landcover6k workshops organized at the Central European University, Budapest during 2015–2016.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/59327
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Szent István University, Department of Nature Conservation and Landscape Ecology, Páter Károly u. 1, Gödöllő, Hungary; Central European University, Department of Medieval Studies, Nádor u. 9, Budapest, Hungary; Károli Gáspár University, Department of Medieval Studies, Kálvin tér 9, Budapest, Hungary; Eötvös Loránd University, Department of Physical Geography, Pázmány Péter sétány 1/C, Budapest, Hungary

Recommended Citation:
Pinke Z.,Ferenczi L.,Romhányi B.F.,et al. Zonal assessment of environmental driven settlement abandonment in the Trans-Tisza region (Central Europe) during the early phase of the Little Ice Age[J]. Quaternary Science Reviews,2017-01-01,157
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