DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.05.024
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84880238714
论文题名: Applications of proxy system modeling in high resolution paleoclimatology
作者: Evans M.N. ; Tolwinski-Ward S.E. ; Thompson D.M. ; Anchukaitis K.J.
刊名: Quaternary Science Reviews
ISSN: 2773791
出版年: 2013
卷: 76 起始页码: 16
结束页码: 28
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Data-model comparison
; Forward modeling
; Hypothesis evaluation
; Observational network optimization
; Reconstruction
; Uncertainty modeling
Scopus关键词: Data-model comparison
; Forward modeling
; Hypothesis evaluation
; Network optimization
; Uncertainty modeling
; Image reconstruction
; Optimization
; Sensors
; Uncertainty analysis
; Climate models
; atmospheric forcing
; network design
; numerical model
; paleoclimate
; proxy climate record
; reconstruction
; resolution
; transformation
; uncertainty analysis
英文摘要: A proxy system model may be defined as the complete set of forward and mechanistic processes by which the response of a sensor to environmental forcing is recorded and subsequently observed in a material archive. Proxy system modeling complements and sharpens signal interpretations based solely on statistical analyses and transformations; providesthe basis for observing network optimization, hypothesis testing, and data-model comparisons for uncertainty estimation; and may be incorporated as weak but mechanistically-plausible constraints into paleoclimatic reconstruction algorithms. Following a review illustrating these applications, we recommend future research pathways, including development of intermediate proxy system models for important sensors, archives, and observations; linking proxy system models to climate system models; hypothesis development and evaluation; more realistic multi-archive, multi-observation network design; examination of proxy system behavior under extreme conditions; and generalized modeling of the total uncertainty in paleoclimate reconstructions derived from paleo-observations. © 2013 The Authors.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/60535
Appears in Collections: 过去全球变化的重建
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作者单位: Department of Geology and Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States; Institute for Mathematics Applied to Geosciences, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States; Department of Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Evans M.N.,Tolwinski-Ward S.E.,Thompson D.M.,et al. Applications of proxy system modeling in high resolution paleoclimatology[J]. Quaternary Science Reviews,2013-01-01,76