DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13736
论文题名: Species’ traits as predictors of range shifts under contemporary climate change: A review and meta-analysis
作者: MacLean S.A. ; Beissinger S.R.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2017
卷: 23, 期: 10 起始页码: 4094
结束页码: 4105
语种: 英语
英文关键词: body size
; diet breadth
; fecundity
; global change
; habitat breadth
; life history
; range expansion
英文摘要: A growing body of literature seeks to explain variation in range shifts using species’ ecological and life-history traits, with expectations that shifts should be greater in species with greater dispersal ability, reproductive potential, and ecological generalization. Despite strong theoretical support for species’ traits as predictors of range shifts, empirical evidence from contemporary range shift studies remains limited in extent and consensus. We conducted the first comprehensive review of species’ traits as predictors of range shifts, collecting results from 51 studies across multiple taxa encompassing over 11,000 species’ responses for 54 assemblages of taxonomically related species occurring together in space. We used studies of assemblages that directly compared geographic distributions sampled in the 20th century prior to climate change with resurveys of distributions after contemporary climate change and then tested whether species traits accounted for heterogeneity in range shifts. We performed a formal meta-analysis on study-level effects of body size, fecundity, diet breadth, habitat breadth, and historic range limit as predictors of range shifts for a subset of 21 studies of 26 assemblages with sufficient data. Range shifts were consistent with predictions based on habitat breadth and historic range limit. However, body size, fecundity, and diet breadth showed no significant effect on range shifts across studies, and multiple studies reported significant relationships that contradicted predictions. Current understanding of species’ traits as predictors of range shifts is limited, and standardized study is needed for traits to be valid indicators of vulnerability in assessments of climate change impacts. © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd
资助项目: This work was supported by NSF Grant DEB 1457742 to SRB, and an NSF Graduate Research Fellowship and a UC Berkeley Chancellor's Fellowship to SAM. Reviews by Marta Jarzyna, Michael Jennions, Walter Jetz, Emily Sena, Morgan Tingley, and the Beissinger lab greatly improved this manuscript.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/60805
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA, United States; Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, CA, United States
Recommended Citation:
MacLean S.A.,Beissinger S.R.. Species’ traits as predictors of range shifts under contemporary climate change: A review and meta-analysis[J]. Global Change Biology,2017-01-01,23(10)