globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13657
论文题名:
Vulnerability of European freshwater catchments to climate change
作者: Markovic D.; Carrizo S.F.; Kärcher O.; Walz A.; David J.N.W.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2017
卷: 23, 期:9
起始页码: 3567
结束页码: 3580
语种: 英语
英文关键词: catchment connectivity ; climate change ; exposure ; freshwater biodiversity ; gap analysis ; resilience ; sensitivity ; vulnerability
Scopus关键词: Amphibia ; Astacoidea ; Mollusca ; Pisces ; Testudines
英文摘要: Climate change is expected to exacerbate the current threats to freshwater ecosystems, yet multifaceted studies on the potential impacts of climate change on freshwater biodiversity at scales that inform management planning are lacking. The aim of this study was to fill this void through the development of a novel framework for assessing climate change vulnerability tailored to freshwater ecosystems. The three dimensions of climate change vulnerability are as follows: (i) exposure to climate change, (ii) sensitivity to altered environmental conditions and (iii) resilience potential. Our vulnerability framework includes 1685 freshwater species of plants, fishes, molluscs, odonates, amphibians, crayfish and turtles alongside key features within and between catchments, such as topography and connectivity. Several methodologies were used to combine these dimensions across a variety of future climate change models and scenarios. The resulting indices were overlaid to assess the vulnerability of European freshwater ecosystems at the catchment scale (18 783 catchments). The Balkan Lakes Ohrid and Prespa and Mediterranean islands emerge as most vulnerable to climate change. For the 2030s, we showed a consensus among the applied methods whereby up to 573 lake and river catchments are highly vulnerable to climate change. The anthropogenic disruption of hydrological habitat connectivity by dams is the major factor reducing climate change resilience. A gap analysis demonstrated that the current European protected area network covers <25% of the most vulnerable catchments. Practical steps need to be taken to ensure the persistence of freshwater biodiversity under climate change. Priority should be placed on enhancing stakeholder cooperation at the major basin scale towards preventing further degradation of freshwater ecosystems and maintaining connectivity among catchments. The catchments identified as most vulnerable to climate change provide preliminary targets for development of climate change conservation management and mitigation strategies. © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd
资助项目: Current research is funded by the DFG Grant MA 6593/2-1, the European Commission BIOFRESH (7th FWP ref. 226874) project and ECOPOTENTIAL (Horizon 2020 ref. 641762) project. JNWD was also supported through a NERC funded DPhil studentship within the Oxford University Centre for the Environment.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/60818
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作者单位: Faculty of Business Management and Social Sciences, Osnabrück University of Applied Sciences, Caprivistr. 30A, Osnabrück, Germany; Center of Applied Biology, Department of Phytomedicine, Hochschule Geisenheim University, Von-Lade-Str. 1, Geisenheim, Germany; Leibniz-Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries, Müggelseedamm 310, Berlin, Germany; Freshwater Biodiversity Unit IUCN Global Species Programme, 219c Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Potsdam, Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 24-25, Potsdam, Germany; Oxford University Centre for the Environment, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, United Kingdom

Recommended Citation:
Markovic D.,Carrizo S.F.,Kärcher O.,et al. Vulnerability of European freshwater catchments to climate change[J]. Global Change Biology,2017-01-01,23(9)
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