globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13243
论文题名:
Early signs of range disjunction of submountainous plant species: An unexplored consequence of future and contemporary climate changes
作者: Kuhn E.; Lenoir J.; Piedallu C.; Gégout J..-C.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2016
卷: 22, 期:6
起始页码: 2094
结束页码: 2105
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Evolution ; Global warming ; Population ; Range margin ; Range shift ; Species distribution modelling ; Species frequency ; Vegetation
Scopus关键词: climate change ; climate effect ; future prospect ; global warming ; mountain region ; plant ; range size ; spatial distribution ; vegetation dynamics ; Europe ; France ; biodiversity ; biological model ; classification ; climate change ; forest ; France ; plant ; spatiotemporal analysis ; Biodiversity ; Climate Change ; Forests ; France ; Models, Biological ; Plants ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis
英文摘要: Poleward and upward species range shifts are the most commonly anticipated and studied consequences of climate warming. However, these global responses to climate change obscure more complex distribution change patterns. We hypothesize that the spatial arrangement of mountain ranges and, consequently, climatic gradients in Europe, will result in range disjunctions. This hypothesis was investigated for submountainous forest plant species at two temporal and spatial scales: (i) under future climate change (between 1950-2000 and 2061-2080 periods) at the European scale and (ii) under contemporary climate change (between 1914-1987 and 1997-2013 periods) at the French scale. We selected 97 submountainous forest plant species occurring in France, among which distribution data across Europe are available for 25 species. By projecting future distribution changes for the 25 submountainous plant species across Europe, we demonstrated that range disjunction is a likely consequence of future climate change. To assess whether it is already taking place, we used a large forest vegetation-plot database covering the entire French territory over 100 years (1914-2013) and found an average decrease in frequency (-0.01 ± 0.004) in lowland areas for the 97 submountainous species - corresponding to a loss of 6% of their historical frequency - along with southward and upward range shifts, suggesting early signs of range disjunctions. Climate-induced range disjunctions should be considered more carefully since they could have dramatic consequences on population genetics and the ability of species to face future climate changes. © 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
资助项目: Acknowledgements We thank A. Sennikov and the AFE Committee, the French National Forest Inventory, Sophy and EcoPlant contributors who provided floristic data as well as I. Seynave and V. Perez who managed the databases used in this article. We also thank J. J. Wiens for comments and discussion that helped to improve the manuscript and two anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments. This study was funded through a PhD grant to E. Kuhn from ADEME and the Regional Council of Lorraine. This study was supported by the French National Research Agency (ANR) as part of the 'Investissements d'Avenir' program (ANR-11-LABX-002-01, Lab. of Excellence ARBRE). The authors have no conflict of interest to declare.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/61381
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性

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作者单位: AgroParisTech, UMR 1092, Laboratoire d'Étude des ressources Forêt-Bois (LERFoB), Nancy, France; INRA, UMR 1092, Laboratoire d'Étude des ressources Forêt-Bois (LERFoB), Champenoux, France; Unite de Recherche 'Ecologie et Dynamique des Systemes Anthropises' (EDYSAN, FRE3498 CNRS-UPJV), Université de Picardie Jules Verne, Amiens, France

Recommended Citation:
Kuhn E.,Lenoir J.,Piedallu C.,et al. Early signs of range disjunction of submountainous plant species: An unexplored consequence of future and contemporary climate changes[J]. Global Change Biology,2016-01-01,22(6)
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