DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13162
论文题名: Climate and land use changes will degrade the configuration of the landscape for titi monkeys in eastern Brazil
作者: Gouveia S.F. ; Souza-Alves J.P. ; Rattis L. ; Dobrovolski R. ; Jerusalinsky L. ; Beltrão-Mendes R. ; Ferrari S.F.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2016
卷: 22, 期: 6 起始页码: 2003
结束页码: 2012
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Callicebus
; Forest fragmentation
; Functional landscape metrics
; Metapopulation
; Primate conservation
; Species distribution modelling
Scopus关键词: climate change
; climate effect
; environmental degradation
; environmental impact assessment
; forest ecosystem
; land use change
; landscape ecology
; metapopulation
; primate
; wildlife management
; Brazil
; Callicebus
; Callicebus personatus
; Primates
; animal
; biological model
; Brazil
; climate change
; ecosystem
; environmental protection
; forecasting
; forest
; Haplorhini
; Animals
; Brazil
; Climate Change
; Conservation of Natural Resources
; Ecosystem
; Forecasting
; Forests
; Haplorhini
; Models, Biological
英文摘要: Land use changes have profound effects on populations of Neotropical primates, and ongoing climate change is expected to aggravate this scenario. The titi monkeys from eastern Brazil (Callicebus personatus group) have been particularly affected by this process, with four of the five species now allocated to threatened conservation status categories. Here, we estimate the changes in the distribution of these titi monkeys caused by changes in both climate and land use. We also use demographic-based, functional landscape metrics to assess the magnitude of the change in landscape conditions for the distribution predicted for each species. We built species distribution models (SDMs) based on maximum entropy for current and future conditions (2070), allowing for different global circulation models and contrasting scenarios of glasshouse gas concentrations. We refined the SDMs using a high-resolution map of habitat remnants. We then calculated habitat availability and connectivity based on home-range size and the dispersal limitations of the individual, in the context of a predicted loss of 10% of forest cover in the future. The landscape configuration is predicted to be degraded for all species, regardless of the climatic settings. This include reductions in the total cover of forest remnants, patch size and functional connectivity. As the landscape configuration should deteriorate severely in the future for all species, the prevention of further loss of populations will only be achieved through habitat restoration and reconnection to counteract the negative effects for these and several other co-occurring species. © 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/61394
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Department of Ecology, Federal University of Sergipe, São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil; Department of Zoology, Federal University of Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil; University of Campinas, Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil; Department of Zoology, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil; National Center for Research and Conservation of Brazilian Primates - CPB, Chico Mendes Institute for the Conservation of Biodiversity, Environmental Ministry, João Pessoa, Paraíba, Brazil
Recommended Citation:
Gouveia S.F.,Souza-Alves J.P.,Rattis L.,et al. Climate and land use changes will degrade the configuration of the landscape for titi monkeys in eastern Brazil[J]. Global Change Biology,2016-01-01,22(6)