DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12648
论文题名: Phenological response to climate change in China: A meta-analysis
作者: Ge Q. ; Wang H. ; Rutishauser T. ; Dai J.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2015
卷: 21, 期: 1 起始页码: 265
结束页码: 274
语种: 英语
英文关键词: China
; Climate change
; Meta-analysis
; Phenology
; Season
; Trend
Scopus关键词: Amphibia
; Animalia
; Aves
; Hexapoda
; acclimatization
; Amphibia
; animal
; bird
; China
; climate change
; demography
; insect
; meta analysis
; physiology
; plant physiology
; season
; species difference
; time
; Acclimatization
; Amphibians
; Animals
; Birds
; China
; Climate Change
; Demography
; Insects
; Plant Physiological Phenomena
; Seasons
; Species Specificity
; Time Factors
英文摘要: The change in the phenology of plants or animals reflects the response of living systems to climate change. Numerous studies have reported a consistent earlier spring phenophases in many parts of middle and high latitudes reflecting increasing temperatures with the exception of China. A systematic analysis of Chinese phenological response could complement the assessment of climate change impact for the whole Northern Hemisphere. Here, we analyze 1263 phenological time series (1960-2011, with 20+ years data) of 112 species extracted from 48 studies across 145 sites in China. Taxonomic groups include trees, shrubs, herbs, birds, amphibians and insects. Results demonstrate that 90.8% of the spring/summer phenophases time series show earlier trends and 69.0% of the autumn phenophases records show later trends. For spring/summer phenophases, the mean advance across all the taxonomic groups was 2.75 days decade-1 ranging between 2.11 and 6.11 days decade-1 for insects and amphibians, respectively. Herbs and amphibians show significantly stronger advancement than trees, shrubs and insect. The response of phenophases of different taxonomic groups in autumn is more complex: trees, shrubs, herbs and insects show a delay between 1.93 and 4.84 days decade-1, while other groups reveal an advancement ranging from 1.10 to 2.11 days decade-1. For woody plants (including trees and shrubs), the stronger shifts toward earlier spring/summer were detected from the data series starting from more recent decades (1980s-2000s). The geographic factors (latitude, longitude and altitude) could only explain 9% and 3% of the overall variance in spring/summer and autumn phenological trends, respectively. The rate of change in spring/summer phenophase of woody plants (1960s-2000s) generally matches measured local warming across 49 sites in China (R = -0.33, P < 0.05). © 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/61677
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR) and Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Recommended Citation:
Ge Q.,Wang H.,Rutishauser T.,et al. Phenological response to climate change in China: A meta-analysis[J]. Global Change Biology,2015-01-01,21(1)