globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13021
论文题名:
Global trade will accelerate plant invasions in emerging economies under climate change
作者: Seebens H.; Essl F.; Dawson W.; Fuentes N.; Moser D.; Pergl J.; Pyšek P.; van Kleunen M.; Weber E.; Winter M.; Blasius B.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2015
卷: 21, 期:11
起始页码: 4128
结束页码: 4140
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Alien vascular plants ; Bioinvasion ; Climate warming ; Global spread ; Imperialist dogma ; Model ; Network of plant invasion
Scopus关键词: biodiversity ; biological invasion ; climate change ; ecological impact ; international trade ; introduced species ; invasive species ; Europe ; Tracheophyta ; biodiversity ; climate change ; commercial phenomena ; developing country ; introduced species ; plant dispersal ; theoretical model ; Biodiversity ; Climate Change ; Commerce ; Developing Countries ; Introduced Species ; Models, Theoretical ; Plant Dispersal
英文摘要: Trade plays a key role in the spread of alien species and has arguably contributed to the recent enormous acceleration of biological invasions, thus homogenizing biotas worldwide. Combining data on 60-year trends of bilateral trade, as well as on biodiversity and climate, we modeled the global spread of plant species among 147 countries. The model results were compared with a recently compiled unique global data set on numbers of naturalized alien vascular plant species representing the most comprehensive collection of naturalized plant distributions currently available. The model identifies major source regions, introduction routes, and hot spots of plant invasions that agree well with observed naturalized plant numbers. In contrast to common knowledge, we show that the 'imperialist dogma,' stating that Europe has been a net exporter of naturalized plants since colonial times, does not hold for the past 60 years, when more naturalized plants were being imported to than exported from Europe. Our results highlight that the current distribution of naturalized plants is best predicted by socioeconomic activities 20 years ago. We took advantage of the observed time lag and used trade developments until recent times to predict naturalized plant trajectories for the next two decades. This shows that particularly strong increases in naturalized plant numbers are expected in the next 20 years for emerging economies in megadiverse regions. The interaction with predicted future climate change will increase invasions in northern temperate countries and reduce them in tropical and (sub)tropical regions, yet not by enough to cancel out the trade-related increase. © 2015 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/61763
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Institute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment, University of Oldenburg, Carl-von-Ossietzky Straße 9-11, Oldenburg, Germany; Division of Conservation, Landscape and Vegetation Ecology, University of Vienna, Rennweg 14, Vienna, Austria; Department of Biological Diversity and Nature Conservation, Environment Agency, Spittelauer Laende 5, Vienna, Austria; Centre for Invasion Biology, Department of Botany and Zoology, Stellenbosch University, Private Bag X1, Matieland, South Africa; University of Konstanz, Universitätsstrasse 10, Konstanz, Germany; Facultad de Ciencias Forestales, Instituto de Ecología y Biodiversidad, Universidad de Concepcion, Victoria 631, Concepcion, Chile; Institute of Botany, Department of Invasion Ecology, The Czech Academy of Sciences, Zámek 1, Průhonice, Czech Republic; Department of Ecology, Faculty of Science, Charles University in Prague, Viničná 7, Prague, Czech Republic; Institute of Biochemistry and Biology, University of Potsdam, Maulbeerallee 1, Potsdam, Germany; German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, Leipzig, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Seebens H.,Essl F.,Dawson W.,et al. Global trade will accelerate plant invasions in emerging economies under climate change[J]. Global Change Biology,2015-01-01,21(11)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Seebens H.]'s Articles
[Essl F.]'s Articles
[Dawson W.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Seebens H.]'s Articles
[Essl F.]'s Articles
[Dawson W.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Seebens H.]‘s Articles
[Essl F.]‘s Articles
[Dawson W.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.