DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12677
论文题名: Applying a framework for landscape planning under climate change for the conservation of biodiversity in the Finnish boreal forest
作者: Mazziotta A. ; Triviño M. ; Tikkanen O.-P. ; Kouki J. ; Strandman H. ; Mönkkönen M.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2015
卷: 21, 期: 2 起始页码: 637
结束页码: 651
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change adaptation
; Climate vulnerability
; Conservation strategy
; Emission scenarios
; Forest ecosystem model
; Forest gap model
; Forest management
; Landscape conservation capacity
; Systematic conservation planning
; Woody debris
Scopus关键词: biodiversity
; biological model
; climate change
; environmental protection
; Finland
; physiology
; procedures
; taiga
; tree
; Biodiversity
; Climate Change
; Conservation of Natural Resources
; Finland
; Models, Biological
; Taiga
; Trees
英文摘要: Conservation strategies are often established without consideration of the impact of climate change. However, this impact is expected to threaten species and ecosystem persistence and to have dramatic effects towards the end of the 21st century. Landscape suitability for species under climate change is determined by several interacting factors including dispersal and human land use. Designing effective conservation strategies at regional scales to improve landscape suitability requires measuring the vulnerabilities of specific regions to climate change and determining their conservation capacities. Although methods for defining vulnerability categories are available, methods for doing this in a systematic, cost-effective way have not been identified. Here, we use an ecosystem model to define the potential resilience of the Finnish forest landscape by relating its current conservation capacity to its vulnerability to climate change. In applying this framework, we take into account the responses to climate change of a broad range of red-listed species with different niche requirements. This framework allowed us to identify four categories in which representation in the landscape varies among three IPCC emission scenarios (B1, low; A1B, intermediate; A2, high emissions): (i) susceptible (B1 = 24.7%, A1B = 26.4%, A2 = 26.2%), the most intact forest landscapes vulnerable to climate change, requiring management for heterogeneity and resilience; (ii) resilient (B1 = 2.2%, A1B = 0.5%, A2 = 0.6%), intact areas with low vulnerability that represent potential climate refugia and require conservation capacity maintenance; (iii) resistant (B1 = 6.7%, A1B = 0.8%, A2 = 1.1%), landscapes with low current conservation capacity and low vulnerability that are suitable for restoration projects; (iv) sensitive (B1 = 66.4%, A1B = 72.3%, A2 = 72.0%), low conservation capacity landscapes that are vulnerable and for which alternative conservation measures are required depending on the intensity of climate change. Our results indicate that the Finnish landscape is likely to be dominated by a very high proportion of sensitive and susceptible forest patches, thereby increasing uncertainty for landscape managers in the choice of conservation strategies. © 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/61825
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Department of Biological and Environmental Science, University of Jyväskylä, P.O. Box 35, Jyväskylä, Finland; Joensuu Unit, Finnish Forest Research Institute, P.O. Box 68, Joensuu, Finland; School of Forest Sciences, University of Eastern Finland, P.O. Box 111, Joensuu, Finland
Recommended Citation:
Mazziotta A.,Triviño M.,Tikkanen O.-P.,et al. Applying a framework for landscape planning under climate change for the conservation of biodiversity in the Finnish boreal forest[J]. Global Change Biology,2015-01-01,21(2)