globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12420
论文题名:
The seasonal timing of warming that controls onset of the growing season
作者: Clark J.S.; Melillo J.; Mohan J.; Salk C.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2014
卷: 20, 期:4
起始页码: 1136
结束页码: 1145
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Budbreak ; Climate change ; Phenology ; Warming experiments
Scopus关键词: climate modeling ; experimental study ; global warming ; growing season ; phenology ; temperature anomaly ; terrestrial ecosystem ; weather forecasting ; Acer ; biological model ; climate ; greenhouse effect ; growth, development and aging ; plant development ; season ; temperature ; tree ; United States ; Acer ; Climate ; Global Warming ; Models, Biological ; North Carolina ; Plant Development ; Seasons ; Temperature ; Trees
英文摘要: Forecasting how global warming will affect onset of the growing season is essential for predicting terrestrial productivity, but suffers from conflicting evidence. We show that accurate estimates require ways to connect discrete observations of changing tree status (e.g., pre- vs. post budbreak) with continuous responses to fluctuating temperatures. By coherently synthesizing discrete observations with continuous responses to temperature variation, we accurately quantify how increasing temperature variation accelerates onset of growth. Application to warming experiments at two latitudes demonstrates that maximum responses to warming are concentrated in late winter, weeks ahead of the main budbreak period. Given that warming will not occur uniformly over the year, knowledge of when temperature variation has the most impact can guide prediction. Responses are large and heterogeneous, yet predictable. The approach has immediate application to forecasting effects of warming on growing season length, requiring only information that is readily available from weather stations and generated in climate models. © 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/61946
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27705, United States; Department of Statistical Science, Duke University, Durham, NC 27705, United States; The Ecosystems Center, Marine Biological Laboratory, Woods Hole, MA 02543, United States; Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, 517 BioSciences Bldg, Athens, GA 30602, United States; Institute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, United States; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg A-2361, Austria

Recommended Citation:
Clark J.S.,Melillo J.,Mohan J.,et al. The seasonal timing of warming that controls onset of the growing season[J]. Global Change Biology,2014-01-01,20(4)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Clark J.S.]'s Articles
[Melillo J.]'s Articles
[Mohan J.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Clark J.S.]'s Articles
[Melillo J.]'s Articles
[Mohan J.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Clark J.S.]‘s Articles
[Melillo J.]‘s Articles
[Mohan J.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.