DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12257
论文题名: Microclimatic challenges in global change biology
作者: Potter K.A. ; Arthur Woods H. ; Pincebourde S.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2013
卷: 19, 期: 10 起始页码: 2932
结束页码: 2939
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Body size
; Climate change
; Downscaling
; Fractals
; Grid size
; Maxent
; Refugia
; Spatial resolution
; Species distribution models
; Temperature
Scopus关键词: body size
; climate change
; climate effect
; downscaling
; global change
; microclimate
; spatial resolution
; temperature effect
; Animalia
; animal
; article
; body size
; climate change
; downscaling
; ecosystem
; fractal analysis
; grid size
; MaxEnt
; microclimate
; plant
; population dynamics
; refugia
; spatial analysis
; spatial resolution
; species distribution models
; temperature
; body size
; climate change
; downscaling
; fractals
; grid size
; maxent
; refugia
; spatial resolution
; species distribution models
; temperature
; Animals
; Climate Change
; Ecosystem
; Microclimate
; Plants
; Population Dynamics
; Spatial Analysis
英文摘要: Despite decades of work on climate change biology, the scientific community remains uncertain about where and when most species distributions will respond to altered climates. A major barrier is the spatial mismatch between the size of organisms and the scale at which climate data are collected and modeled. Using a meta-analysis of published literature, we show that grid lengths in species distribution models are, on average, ca. 10 000-fold larger than the animals they study, and ca. 1000-fold larger than the plants they study. And the gap is even worse than these ratios indicate, as most work has focused on organisms that are significantly biased toward large size. This mismatch is problematic because organisms do not experience climate on coarse scales. Rather, they live in microclimates, which can be highly heterogeneous and strongly divergent from surrounding macroclimates. Bridging the spatial gap should be a high priority for research and will require gathering climate data at finer scales, developing better methods for downscaling environmental data to microclimates, and improving our statistical understanding of variation at finer scales. Interdisciplinary collaborations (including ecologists, engineers, climatologists, meteorologists, statisticians, and geographers) will be key to bridging the gap, and ultimately to providing scientifically grounded data and recommendations to conservation biologists and policy makers. © 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/62326
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Division of Biological Sciences, University of Montana, Missoula, MT, 59812, United States; School of Forestry, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, 86011, United States; Institut de Recherche sur la Biologie de l'Insecte (IRBI, CNRS UMR 7261), Faculté des Sciences et Techniques, Université François Rabelais, Tours, 37200, France
Recommended Citation:
Potter K.A.,Arthur Woods H.,Pincebourde S.. Microclimatic challenges in global change biology[J]. Global Change Biology,2013-01-01,19(10)