DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12236
论文题名: Ecological niche modeling of coastal dune plants and future potential distribution in response to climate change and sea level rise
作者: Mendoza-González G. ; Martínez M.L. ; Rojas-Soto O.R. ; Vázquez G. ; Gallego-Fernández J.B.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2013
卷: 19, 期: 8 起始页码: 2524
结束页码: 2535
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Coastal dune vegetation
; Ecological niche modeling
; Foredunes
; Sea level rise
; Species distribution
Scopus关键词: climate change
; climate effect
; coastal zone
; dune
; ecological modeling
; ecosystem response
; endemic species
; herb
; niche
; sea level change
; shoreline change
; shrub
; spatial distribution
; vegetation
; angiosperm
; article
; biological model
; climate change
; coastal dune vegetation
; ecological niche modeling
; ecosystem
; foredunes
; Mexico
; physiology
; plant dispersal
; sea level rise
; species distribution
; climate change
; coastal dune vegetation
; ecological niche modeling
; foredunes
; sea level rise
; species distribution
; Angiosperms
; Climate Change
; Ecosystem
; Mexico
; Models, Biological
; Plant Dispersal
; Atlantic Ocean
; Gulf of Mexico
; Yucatan Peninsula
; Cakile edentula
; Chamaecrista
; Chamaecrista chamaecristoides
; Palafoxia lindenii
英文摘要: Climate change (CC) and sea level rise (SLR) are phenomena that could have severe impacts on the distribution of coastal dune vegetation. To explore this we modeled the climatic niches of six coastal dunes plant species that grow along the shoreline of the Gulf of Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula, and projected climatic niches to future potential distributions based on two CC scenarios and SLR projections. Our analyses suggest that distribution of coastal plants will be severely limited, and more so in the case of local endemics (Chamaecrista chamaecristoides, Palafoxia lindenii, Cakile edentula). The possibilities of inland migration to the potential 'new shoreline' will be limited by human infrastructure and ecosystem alteration that will lead to a 'coastal squeeze' of the coastal habitats. Finally, we identified areas as future potential refuges for the six species in central Gulf of Mexico, and northern Yucatán Peninsula especially under CC and SLR scenarios. © 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/62369
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Red de Ecología Funcional, Instituto de Ecología A. C., Carretera Antigua a Coatepec 351. El Haya, Xalapa, Veracruz 91070, Mexico; Red de Biología Evolutiva, Instituto de Ecología A. C., Carretera Antigua a Coatepec 351. El Haya, Xalapa, Veracruz 91070, Mexico; Departamento de Biología Vegetal y Ecología, Facultad de Biología, Universidad de Sevilla, Sevilla41080, Spain
Recommended Citation:
Mendoza-González G.,Martínez M.L.,Rojas-Soto O.R.,et al. Ecological niche modeling of coastal dune plants and future potential distribution in response to climate change and sea level rise[J]. Global Change Biology,2013-01-01,19(8)