DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12185
论文题名: Vulnerability of terrestrial island vertebrates to projected sea-level rise
作者: Wetzel F.T. ; Beissmann H. ; Penn D.J. ; Jetz W.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2013
卷: 19, 期: 7 起始页码: 2058
结束页码: 2070
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Conservation
; Endemic species
; Island biogeography
; Range contractions
; Sea-level rise
; Threatened species
; Vertebrates
Scopus关键词: biodiversity
; climate change
; endemic species
; island biogeography
; sea level change
; species conservation
; vertebrate
; vulnerability
; altitude
; animal
; article
; biodiversity
; bird
; greenhouse effect
; growth, development and aging
; island (geological)
; mammal
; phylogeography
; reptile
; sea
; species extinction
; theoretical model
; vertebrate
; Altitude
; Animals
; Biodiversity
; Birds
; Extinction, Biological
; Global Warming
; Islands
; Mammals
; Models, Theoretical
; Oceans and Seas
; Phylogeography
; Reptiles
; Vertebrates
; Pacific islands
; Pacific Ocean
; Southeast Asia
; Mycteroperca fusca
; Vertebrata
英文摘要: Sea-level rise (SLR) from global warming may have severe consequences for biodiversity; however, a baseline, broad-scale assessment of the potential consequences of SLR for island biodiversity is lacking. Here, we quantify area loss for over 12 900 islands and over 3000 terrestrial vertebrates in the Pacific and Southeast Asia under three different SLR scenarios (1 m, 3 m and 6 m). We used very fine-grained elevation information, which offered >100 times greater spatial detail than previous analyses and allowed us to evaluate thousands of hitherto not assessed small islands. Depending on the SLR scenario, we estimate that 15-62% of islands in our study region will be completely inundated and 19-24% will lose 50-99% of their area. Overall, we project that between 1% and 9% of the total island area in our study region may be lost. We find that Pacific species are 2-3 times more vulnerable than those in the Indomalayan or Australasian region and risk losing 4-22% of range area (1-6 m SLR). Species already listed as threatened by IUCN are particularly vulnerable compared with non-threatened species. Under a simple area loss-species loss proportionality assumption, we estimate that 37 island group endemic species in this region risk complete inundation of their current global distribution in the 1 m SLR scenario that is widely anticipated for this century (and 118 species under 3 m SLR). Our analysis provides a first, broad-scale estimate of the potential consequences of SLR for island biodiversity and our findings confirm that islands are extremely vulnerable to sea-level rise even within this century. © 2013 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/62395
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Konrad Lorenz Institute of Ethology, Department of Integrative Biology and Evolution, University of Veterinary Medicine, Savoyenstraße 1a, Vienna, A-1160, Austria; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, 165 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT, 06520-8106, United States
Recommended Citation:
Wetzel F.T.,Beissmann H.,Penn D.J.,et al. Vulnerability of terrestrial island vertebrates to projected sea-level rise[J]. Global Change Biology,2013-01-01,19(7)