DOI: 10.1002/grl.50370
论文题名: Detection of an observed 135 year ocean temperature change from limited data
作者: Hobbs W.R. ; Willis J.K.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9033
EISSN: 1944-8764
出版年: 2013
卷: 40, 期: 10 起始页码: 2252
结束页码: 2258
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Detection and Attribution
; Ocean observation
; Sea level rise
Scopus关键词: Anthropogenic warming
; Coupled climate model
; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
; Detection and attributions
; Global mean sea levels
; Ocean observations
; Sea level rise
; Temperature differences
; Hydrographic surveys
; Sea level
; Climate change
; climate change
; climate modeling
; data set
; global warming
; hydrographic survey
; long-term change
; magnitude
; marine environment
; sea level change
; temperature profile
英文摘要: Recent work comparing historical hydrographic data with modern Argo observations shows a long-term change in the global ocean temperature. The magnitude of this change is greater than estimates of late 20th century warming, and implies a century-scale change in the global oceans. Using global coupled climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 suite of simulations, we assess to what extent this observed temperature difference can be attributed to a genuine long-term warming trend. After accounting for natural variability and sampling errors, we find convincing evidence that there has indeed been a century-scale anthropogenic warming of the global ocean up to the present day, and a strong possibility of anthropogenic warming from 1873 to 1955. The estimated 1873-1955 ocean warming implies a net top-of-atmosphere energy imbalance of 0.1 ± 0.06 Wm-2, and a thermosteric global mean sea level rise of 0.50 ± 0.2 mma-1. © 2013 American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84879914510&doi=10.1002%2fgrl.50370&partnerID=40&md5=a3c04f8214c8f92ec7e5c12045773eab
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/6297
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: University of Tasmania, Institute of Marine and Antarctic Science, Private Bag 129, Hobart, TAS 7001, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Hobbs W.R.,Willis J.K.. Detection of an observed 135 year ocean temperature change from limited data[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2013-01-01,40(10).