globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.07.020
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84989966083
论文题名:
Modeling temporal changes in human-caused wildfires in Mediterranean Europe based on Land Use-Land Cover interfaces
作者: Vilar L.; Camia A.; San-Miguel-Ayanz J.; Martín M.P.
刊名: Forest Ecology and Management
ISSN:  0378-1127
出版年: 2016
卷: 378
起始页码: 68
结束页码: 78
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Generalized Additive Models ; LULC interfaces ; Mediterranean Europe ; Socio-economic changes ; Wildfire
Scopus关键词: Economics ; Fires ; Land use ; Fire occurrences ; Generalized additive model ; Human activities ; Land use/ land covers ; Mediterranean Europe ; Socio-economic change ; Temporal change ; Wildfire ; Economic and social effects
英文摘要: In the period 1980s–2010s, 95% of wildfires in Mediterranean Europe were due to human causes. In this highly populated region, socio-economic changes occurred in the last decades have influenced wildfire activity. Socio-economic drivers are difficult to model at regional/global scales due to lack of spatial and temporal homogeneous data sources. In this paper, human caused-wildfires have been modeled using Land Use-Land Cover (LULC) interfaces based on the theoretical relationships found in previous works between human activities associated to this areas and fire occurrence. Generalized Additive Models were used to analyze human-caused fire occurrence in the European Mediterranean (EUMed) basin (Portugal, Spain, South-France and Italy) in two different time periods 1990s and 2000s. The estimated effects of the LULC interfaces on fire occurrence were significant in all periods in the whole study area and at country level, except in Portugal. Concerning trends, no significant changes were observed between periods in EUMed and in the individual countries. Nevertheless influence of the LULC interfaces on wildfire occurrence exhibited different tendencies among the studied sites. © 2016 Elsevier B.V.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/64758
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性

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作者单位: Centre of Social and Human Sciences, Spanish National Research Council, c/Albasanz 26-28, Madrid, Spain; Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Joint Research Centre, European Commission, TP 261, Via E. Fermi 2749, Ispra (Va), Italy

Recommended Citation:
Vilar L.,Camia A.,San-Miguel-Ayanz J.,et al. Modeling temporal changes in human-caused wildfires in Mediterranean Europe based on Land Use-Land Cover interfaces[J]. Forest Ecology and Management,2016-01-01,378
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