globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.04.024
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84964600768
论文题名:
Space-time modeling of changes in the abundance and distribution of tree species
作者: Moreno-Fernández D.; Hernández L.; Sánchez-González M.; Cañellas I.; Montes F.
刊名: Forest Ecology and Management
ISSN:  0378-1127
出版年: 2016
卷: 372
起始页码: 206
结束页码: 216
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Data autocorrelation ; Global change ; Land use ; Mixed stands ; Species distribution models
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Conservation ; Ecosystems ; Global warming ; Interpolation ; Land use ; Population distribution ; Rain ; Climatic variables ; Forest inventory data ; Global change ; Mediterranean mountains ; Mixed stands ; National forest inventories ; Quercus pyrenaica ; Species distribution models ; Forestry ; abundance ; autocorrelation ; climate change ; coniferous tree ; forest ecosystem ; global change ; land use change ; montane forest ; population distribution ; population modeling ; spatial distribution ; statistical data ; Pyrenees ; Pinus sylvestris ; Quercus pyrenaica
英文摘要: Land use change and global warming are important drivers in the distribution of tree species. The Mediterranean mountain forest ecosystems can be severely affected by climate change since an increment in temperature has been observed. The main aim of this work was to analyze shifts in the distribution and changes in the abundance of Pyrenean oak (Quercus pyrenaica Willd.) and Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) in Mediterranean mountains over a period of 47 years (1965-2012) by using data from the National Forest Inventories, extending the Universal Kriging/Cokriging models to the space-time case for long-term forest inventory data analysis including climatic variables. Our results indicated that both the distribution and the abundance of Scots pine remained quite constant during the study period. Pyrenean oak increased its presence by 42% whereas its abundance doubled between 1965 and 2012. This movement took place towards both higher and lower altitudes. With regard to climatic factors, the kriging models showed a negative association between the presence of Scots pine and the temperature. However, we found a quadratic relationship between the Pyrenean oak and temperature, pointing to the occurrence of at intermediate altitudes. Additionally, we found significant relationships between the rainfall and the abundance of both species. Rainfall was positively related to the abundance of Scots pine and negatively to that of Pyrenean oak. Our results indicate that there has been a threefold increase in the area covered by mixed stands. However, successive land use changes as well as forest policies related to conservation have played an important role in the distribution of both species and therefore are taken into account in the discussion of these results. © 2016.
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/64904
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: INIA-CIFOR, Ctra. A Coruña km 7.5, Madrid, Spain; Sustainable Forest Management Research Institute, Universidad de Valladolid and INIA, Palencia, Spain; E.T.S.I. Montes, Polytechnic University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain

Recommended Citation:
Moreno-Fernández D.,Hernández L.,Sánchez-González M.,et al. Space-time modeling of changes in the abundance and distribution of tree species[J]. Forest Ecology and Management,2016-01-01,372
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Moreno-Fernández D.]'s Articles
[Hernández L.]'s Articles
[Sánchez-González M.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Moreno-Fernández D.]'s Articles
[Hernández L.]'s Articles
[Sánchez-González M.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Moreno-Fernández D.]‘s Articles
[Hernández L.]‘s Articles
[Sánchez-González M.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.