DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2015.11.043
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84948809250
论文题名: Tamm Review: Observed and projected climate change impacts on Russia's forests and its carbon balance
作者: Schaphoff S. ; Reyer C.P.O. ; Schepaschenko D. ; Gerten D. ; Shvidenko A.
刊名: Forest Ecology and Management
ISSN: 0378-1127
出版年: 2016
卷: 361 起始页码: 432
结束页码: 444
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Boreal forests
; Carbon balance
; Carbon pools
; Fire
; Forest productivity
; Insects
; Permafrost
; Tipping point
Scopus关键词: Carbon dioxide
; Fires
; Forestry
; Permafrost
; Productivity
; Boreal forests
; Carbon balance
; Carbon pool
; Forest productivity
; Insects
; Tipping point
; Climate change
; Hexapoda
英文摘要: Russia's boreal forests provide numerous important ecosystem functions and services, but they are being increasingly affected by climate change. This review presents an overview of observed and potential future climate change impacts on those forests with an emphasis on their aggregate carbon balance and processes driving changes therein. We summarize recent findings highlighting that radiation increases, temperature-driven longer growing seasons and increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations generally enhance vegetation productivity, while heat waves and droughts tend to decrease it. Estimates of major carbon fluxes such as net biome production agree that the Russian forests as a whole currently act as a carbon sink, but these estimates differ in terms of the magnitude of the sink due to different methods and time periods used. Moreover, models project substantial distributional shifts of forest biomes, but they may overestimate the extent to which the boreal forest will shift poleward as past migration rates have been slow. While other impacts of current climate change are already substantial, and projected impacts could be both large-scale and disastrous, the likelihood for a tipping point behavior of Russia's boreal forest is still unquantified. Other substantial research gaps include the large-scale effect of (climate-driven) disturbances such as fires and insect outbreaks, which are expected to increase in the future. We conclude that the impacts of climate change on Russia's boreal forest are often superimposed by other environmental and societal changes in a complex way, and the interaction of these developments could exacerbate both existing and projected future challenges. Hence, development of adaptation and mitigation strategies for Russia's forests is strongly advised. © 2015 Elsevier B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/65134
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegraphenberg A62, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria; Moscow State Forest University, Institutskaya 1, Mytishchi, Moscow Oblast, Russian Federation; Sukachev Institute of Forest, Siberian Division, Russian Academy of Sciences, Akademgorodok, str. 28, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation
Recommended Citation:
Schaphoff S.,Reyer C.P.O.,Schepaschenko D.,et al. Tamm Review: Observed and projected climate change impacts on Russia's forests and its carbon balance[J]. Forest Ecology and Management,2016-01-01,361