DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2013.05.006
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84878471820
论文题名: Predicting potential distribution of Quercus suber in Italy based on ecological niche models: Conservation insights and reforestation involvements
作者: Vessella F. ; Schirone B.
刊名: Forest Ecology and Management
ISSN: 0378-1127
出版年: 2013
卷: 304 起始页码: 150
结束页码: 161
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Conservation and reforestation areas
; Distribution patterns
; GARP
; MaxEnt
; Quercus suber
Scopus关键词: Comprehensive assessment
; Distribution patterns
; Ecological niche modelling
; GARP
; MaxEnt
; Probability of occurrence
; Quercus
; Receiver operating characteristics
; Ecology
; Reforestation
; Population distribution
; assessment method
; coniferous forest
; conservation management
; drought stress
; ecological modeling
; evergreen tree
; niche
; prediction
; reforestation
; restoration ecology
; Italy
; Quercus suber
英文摘要: Different statistical techniques have been used to model species potential distribution related to environmental variables. This paper provides a comprehensive assessments of GARP and MaxEnt methods, and investigates for the first time the probability of occurrence of cork oak (Quercus suber L.) in Italy based on ecological niche modelling approaches. A detailed distribution of the species was achieved during a 3-year National Project (SuberItalia) and 17 environmental layers were employed to obtain the potential distribution of cork oak. The performance of the models were measured using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) approach and Cohen's Kappa statistic. Results achieved by GARP and MaxEnt showed as the drought and the cold stresses are the main factors affecting cork oak occurrence in Italy. Moreover, the accuracy of the obtained prediction maps were compared to a specifically calibrated geo-statistical method at regional scale, pointing out a preliminary geographical assessment of the suitable surfaces to set apart for cork oak forest expansion in Italy, thereby useful to address reforestation and conservation concerns to face the ongoing area reduction of these forests. © 2013 Elsevier B.V.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/66469
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: Dipartimento Ambiente, Foreste, Natura ed Energia (DAFNE), Università degli Studi della Tuscia, 01100 Viterbo, Italy
Recommended Citation:
Vessella F.,Schirone B.. Predicting potential distribution of Quercus suber in Italy based on ecological niche models: Conservation insights and reforestation involvements[J]. Forest Ecology and Management,2013-01-01,304