DOI: 10.1002/grl.50103
论文题名: Bunched black (and grouped grey) swans: Dissipative and non-dissipative models of correlated extreme fluctuations in complex geosystems
作者: Watkins N.W.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9384
EISSN: 1944-9115
出版年: 2013
卷: 40, 期: 2 起始页码: 402
结束页码: 410
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Cross-disciplinary approaches
; Extreme events
; Fluid turbulence
; Heavy-tailed distribution
; Intense rainfalls
; Joseph effect
; Stochastic equations
; Unresolved scale
; Earth sciences
; Geophysics
; Shot noise
; bird
; dissipation
; hierarchical system
; precipitation intensity
; stochasticity
; turbulence
; Cygnus
英文摘要: I review the hierarchy of approaches to complex systems, focusing particularly on stochastic equations. I discuss how the main models advocated by the late Benoit Mandelbrot fit into this classification, and how they continue to contribute to cross-disciplinary approaches to the increasingly important problems of correlated extreme events and unresolved scales. The ideas have broad importance, with applications ranging across science areas as diverse as the heavy tailed distributions of intense rainfall in hydrology, after which Mandelbrot named the "Noah effect"; the problem of correlated runs of dry summers in climate, after which the "Joseph effect" was named; and the intermittent, bursty, volatility seen in finance and fluid turbulence. © 2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84874897403&doi=10.1002%2fgrl.50103&partnerID=40&md5=23f0fc2543e7cb228da9f14f602fb6c3
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/6648
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: British Antarctic Survey (NERC), High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
Watkins N.W.. Bunched black (and grouped grey) swans: Dissipative and non-dissipative models of correlated extreme fluctuations in complex geosystems[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2013-01-01,40(2).