DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2012.11.035
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84877920521
论文题名: Reducing uncertainty and risk through forest management planning in British Columbia
作者: Day J.K. ; Pérez D.M.
刊名: Forest Ecology and Management
ISSN: 0378-1127
出版年: 2013
卷: 300 起始页码: 117
结束页码: 124
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Forest management plan
; Harvest schedule
; Mountain pine beetle
; UBC Alex Fraser Research Forest
; Uncertainty
Scopus关键词: Forest management plans
; Harvest schedule
; Mountain pine beetle
; Research forest
; Uncertainty
; Climate change
; Managers
; Research
; Risk management
; Weather information services
; Forestry
; beetle
; climate change
; coniferous forest
; disturbance
; extreme event
; forest management
; harvesting
; land management
; pest outbreak
; risk assessment
; uncertainty analysis
; weather forecasting
; Forest Management
; Forestry
; Planning
; Research
; Risk Management
; British Columbia
; Canada
; Coleoptera
; Pinus mugo
英文摘要: The Alex Fraser Research Forest is 10,000. ha of provincial land managed for research and teaching by the University of British Columbia in central British Columbia. Experience shows us that weather is already a driving influence in forest management as extreme-weather events cause substantial damage. Biotic and abiotic disturbances create significant uncertainty for managers, and present a significant risk of loss to the growing stock. Forecasts of climate change indicate increasing average temperatures and changes in precipitation patterns. These forecasts also suggest more extreme-weather events. Changing weather patterns mean changing interactions between forests and disturbance agents, likely resulting in unprecedented levels of damage. Research forest managers have developed an approach to managing this uncertainty and risk through forest management planning. If climate change will lead to more extreme weather, it is expected that adapting to climate change will equate to managing risk. A retrospective examination of the response to the mountain pine beetle outbreak (1991-2005) has enabled us to document our approach to managing the risk of damage and loss. Forest management planning provides a framework to establish priorities, set objectives and devise strategies to maintain the values that are important on research forests as they adapt to climate change. © 2012 Elsevier B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/66602
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: UBC Alex Fraser Research Forest, 72 South 7th Ave., Williams Lake, BC, Canada; UBC Faculty of Forestry, Forest Resources Management Department, #2045 - 2424 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada
Recommended Citation:
Day J.K.,Pérez D.M.. Reducing uncertainty and risk through forest management planning in British Columbia[J]. Forest Ecology and Management,2013-01-01,300