globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2016.12.007
论文题名:
Who Should Pick the Winners of Climate Change?
作者: Webster M.S.; Colton M.A.; Darling E.S.; Armstrong J.; Pinsky M.L.; Knowlton N.; Schindler D.E.
刊名: Trends in Ecology and Evolution
ISSN: 1695347
出版年: 2017
卷: 32, 期:3
起始页码: 167
结束页码: 173
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: adaptation ; climate change ; conservation status ; environmental conditions ; evolutionary biology ; genotype ; probability ; selection
英文摘要: Many conservation strategies identify a narrow subset of genotypes, species, or geographic locations that are predicted to be favored under different scenarios of future climate change. However, a focus on predicted winners, which might not prove to be correct, risks undervaluing the balance of biological diversity from which climate-change winners could otherwise emerge. Drawing on ecology, evolutionary biology, and portfolio theory, we propose a conservation approach designed to promote adaptation that is less dependent on uncertain predictions about the identity of winners and losers. By designing actions to facilitate numerous opportunities for selection across biological and environmental conditions, we can allow nature to pick the winners and increase the probability that ecosystems continue to provide services to humans and other species. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/66952
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Coral Reef Alliance, 1330 Broadway, Oakland, CA, United States; Wildlife Conservation Society, Bronx, NY, United States; Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Oregon State University, 104 Nash Hall, Corvallis, OR, United States; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Natural Resources, Rutgers University, 14 College Farm Road, New Brunswick, NJ, United States; Smithsonian Institution, National Museum of Natural History, 10th and Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, DC, United States; School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Box 355020, Seattle, WA, United States

Recommended Citation:
Webster M.S.,Colton M.A.,Darling E.S.,et al. Who Should Pick the Winners of Climate Change?[J]. Trends in Ecology and Evolution,2017-01-01,32(3)
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