DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2014.02.002
论文题名: Global species richness estimates have not converged
作者: Caley M.J. ; Fisher R. ; Mengersen K.
刊名: Trends in Ecology and Evolution
ISSN: 1695347
出版年: 2014
卷: 29, 期: 4 起始页码: 187
结束页码: 188
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Adaptive learning
; Bayesian analysis
; Biodiversity
; Global species richness
Scopus关键词: Bayesian analysis
; biodiversity
; convergence
; learning
; research
; species richness
; adaptive management
; decadal variation
; global perspective
; uncertainty analysis
; Bayes theorem
; biodiversity
; biological model
; uncertainty
; Bayes Theorem
; Biodiversity
; Models, Biological
; Uncertainty
英文摘要: We demonstrate that after more than six decades, estimates of global species richness have failed to converge, remain highly uncertain, and in many cases, are logically inconsistent. Convergence in these estimates could be accelerated by adaptive learning methods where the estimation of uncertainty is prioritised and used to guide future research. © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/67264
Appears in Collections: 全球变化的国际研究计划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Australian Institute of Marine Science, PMB 3, Townsville MC, QLD, Australia; School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, GPO Box 2434, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Caley M.J.,Fisher R.,Mengersen K.. Global species richness estimates have not converged[J]. Trends in Ecology and Evolution,2014-01-01,29(4)