DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2012.08.022
论文题名: Living dangerously on borrowed time during slow, unrecognized regime shifts
作者: Hughes T.P. ; Linares C. ; Dakos V. ; van de Leemput I.A. ; van Nes E.H.
刊名: Trends in Ecology and Evolution
ISSN: 1695347
出版年: 2013
卷: 28, 期: 3 起始页码: 149
结束页码: 155
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Alternate stable states
; Borrowed time
; Climate change
; Regime shift
; Resilience
; Slow responses
; Thresholds
; Transient dynamics
Scopus关键词: climate change
; ecological theory
; ecosystem resilience
; ecosystem response
; environmental factor
; equilibrium
; human geography
; social impact
; temporal period
; threshold
; animal
; climate change
; coral reef
; ecosystem
; environmental protection
; population dynamics
; review
; theoretical model
; time
; Animals
; Climate Change
; Conservation of Natural Resources
; Coral Reefs
; Ecosystem
; Models, Theoretical
; Population Dynamics
; Time Factors
英文摘要: Regime shifts from one ecological state to another are often portrayed as sudden, dramatic, and difficult to reverse. Yet many regime shifts unfold slowly and imperceptibly after a tipping point has been exceeded, especially at regional and global scales. These long, smooth transitions between equilibrium states are easy to miss, ignore, or deny, confounding management and governance. However, slow responses by ecosystems after transgressing a dangerous threshold also affords borrowed time - a window of opportunity to return to safer conditions before the new state eventually locks in and equilibrates. In this context, the most important challenge is a social one: convincing enough people to confront business-as-usual before time runs out to reverse unwanted regime shifts even after they have already begun. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/67446
Appears in Collections: 全球变化的国际研究计划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia; Department of Ecology, University of Barcelona, Diagonal 645, E-08028 Barcelona, Spain; Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands; Integrative Ecology Group, Estación Biológica de Doñana, CSIC, Calle Américo Vespucio s/n, E-41092 Sevilla, Spain
Recommended Citation:
Hughes T.P.,Linares C.,Dakos V.,et al. Living dangerously on borrowed time during slow, unrecognized regime shifts[J]. Trends in Ecology and Evolution,2013-01-01,28(3)