DOI: 10.1515/rtuect-2015-0010
论文题名: System dynamics modelling of the power sector in mauritius
作者: Deenapanray P.N.K. ; Bassi A.M.
刊名: Environmental and Climate Technologies
ISSN: 16915208
出版年: 2015
卷: 16, 期: 1 起始页码: 20
结束页码: 35
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Electricity demand forecasting
; Mauritius
; Power sector
; System dynamics
Scopus关键词: demand analysis
; electricity industry
; electricity supply
; forecasting method
; modeling
; Mascarene Islands
; Mauritius
英文摘要: A system dynamics model has been developed for the power sector of Mauritius, which captures a range of complex interactions between the economic, social and environmental aspects of the national economy, with deeper emphasis on the role of energy in these interactions. The model has been validated by replicating the historical trends of key development indicators, and its results were compared to the projections of the national utility company. The validation process shows that the model provides a faithful representation of the actual electricity sector of Mauritius, and can be easily adapted to the use of different assumptions. This paper describes the main characteristics of the model and its results as compared to electricity demand projections carried out by the Central Electricity Board to 2022. The results suggest that further analysis could be done to test alternative low carbon investment scenarios. © 2015 Prakash N. K. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/67504
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Centre for Systemic Planning, 74 Societe La Fleche, La Gaulette, Mauritius; ELIA – Ecological Living in Action, 74 Societe La Fleche, La Gaulette, Mauritius; KnowlEdge Srl, 35, via Col Di Lana, Castellanza, Italy
Recommended Citation:
Deenapanray P.N.K.,Bassi A.M.. System dynamics modelling of the power sector in mauritius[J]. Environmental and Climate Technologies,2015-01-01,16(1)