DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2015.113
论文题名: A case study of regional risk assessment of river restoration projects: Nakdong River Basin, South Korea
作者: Kim J.-S. ; Moon Y.-I. ; Yoon S.-K. ; Choi M.
刊名: Journal of Water and Climate Change
ISSN: 20402244
出版年: 2015
卷: 6, 期: 3 起始页码: 628
结束页码: 637
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change scenarios
; Four major rivers restoration project
; Hazard
; Hydrologic risk
; Vulnerability
英文摘要: An integrated approach to risk assessment that can pose significant challenges to mitigation and adaptation at the local or regional levels in the context of climate change was developed. First, a conceptual framework for flood risk analysis was developed based on the hydrologic hazard and the socioeconomic vulnerability of a region. Second, weighting factors for each indicator were estimated using the modified Delphi approach based on the results of a survey of an expert group. Third, geographic information system analysis described the hydrologic risk at the regional level before and after completion of the Four Major Rivers Restoration Project at the Nakdong River Basin, South Korea. Finally, sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate the extent of the resilience of the Nakdong River Basin based on climate change scenarios to extend the existing research. It was found that the effect of the river restoration project in the future would be insignificant in terms of risk control over regions where floods are likely to increase upon climate change. We believe that this study provides useful information for the development of scientific, effective risk management tools for consistent application in a time of changing climate. © IWA Publishing 2015.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/67628
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Department of Civil Engineering, University of Seoul, Seoul, South Korea; Urban Flood Research Institute, Universityof Seoul, Seoul, South Korea; Climate Research Department, APEC Climate Center, Busan, South Korea; Water Resources and Remote Sensing Laboratory, Department of Water Resources, Graduate School of Water Resources, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, South Korea
Recommended Citation:
Kim J.-S.,Moon Y.-I.,Yoon S.-K.,et al. A case study of regional risk assessment of river restoration projects: Nakdong River Basin, South Korea[J]. Journal of Water and Climate Change,2015-01-01,6(3)