DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2014.013
论文题名: Climate change related increase of storminess near Hel Peninsula, Gulf of Gdańsk, Poland
作者: Cerkowniak G.R. ; Ostrowski R. ; Szmytkiewicz P.
刊名: Journal of Water and Climate Change
ISSN: 20402244
出版年: 2015
卷: 6, 期: 2 起始页码: 300
结束页码: 312
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Gulf of Gdańsk
; Storm surge
; Wave climate
; Wind
; Wind climate
英文摘要: The paper deals with the growing threat of erosion to the south Baltic coast, caused by the intensification of a wind-induced wave climate and sea level rise, which is expected to continue until 2100 as a result of climate change. In the analysis, a deep-water wave prognostic point is located about 13 km north-east of the Hel Peninsula, situated in the NW part of the Gulf of Gdańsk. The study comprises the analyses of wind velocity, storm surge, wave height, wave set-up and wave run-up. A significant predicted increase in wave heights during extreme storms, compared with the wave climate reconstructed for 1958–2001, combined with anticipated higher storm surges, is expected to result in a lower resilience of the sea shore to erosion and flooding. Although nourishment operations conducted along the open sea shore of the Hel Peninsula have proved efficient and successful, nourishment needs will have to be adequately recalculated in future to ensure sufficient protection of this coastal segment. © IWA Publishing 2015. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/67645
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Institute of Hydro-Engineering of the Polish Academy of Sciences (IBW PAN), Kosćierska 7, Gdańsk, Poland
Recommended Citation:
Cerkowniak G.R.,Ostrowski R.,Szmytkiewicz P.. Climate change related increase of storminess near Hel Peninsula, Gulf of Gdańsk, Poland[J]. Journal of Water and Climate Change,2015-01-01,6(2)