DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2014.091
论文题名: Adaptation turning points on inland waterway transport in the Rhine River
作者: Riquelme-Solar M. ; van Slobbe E. ; Werners S.E.
刊名: Journal of Water and Climate Change
ISSN: 20402244
出版年: 2015
卷: 6, 期: 4 起始页码: 670
结束页码: 682
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate adaptation
; Extreme low flow
; Inland waterway transport
; River management
英文摘要: It is expected that climate change will affect important natural inland waterways in Europe, among others, the Rhine River. Inland waterway transport is one of the main economic activities developed in the Rhine, and the effects of climate change on this activity are of great concern for skippers, the industry and policy-makers. This paper aims to identify whether longer and more frequent dry periods projected in the Rhine River will turn into a physical limitation that prevent inland waterway transport companies from guaranteeing reliable transportation to their customers, and – if so – when such a situation might take place. Based on the adaptation turning point approach, we propose a four step method to identify critical time periods for future climate change adaptation. According to our results, the inland waterway transport sector will start facing insurmountable problems associated with low water levels within the time span 2081–2095. The adaptation turning point approach provides analysts with a dynamic appraisal method that allows options to be ranked with timing of period of effectiveness and the time span needed for implementation as criteria. This increases flexibility of planning and allows for uncertainty about changing future conditions. © IWA Publishing 2015. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/67672
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Earth System Science and Climate Change Group, Wageningen University, Lumen Building 100, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, Wageningen, Netherlands
Recommended Citation:
Riquelme-Solar M.,van Slobbe E.,Werners S.E.. Adaptation turning points on inland waterway transport in the Rhine River[J]. Journal of Water and Climate Change,2015-01-01,6(4)