DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2014.106
论文题名: Assessing potential climate change impacts on the seasonality of runoff in an Alpine watershed
作者: Schneeberger K. ; Dobler C. ; Huttenlau M. ; Stötter J.
刊名: Journal of Water and Climate Change
ISSN: 20402244
出版年: 2015
卷: 6, 期: 2 起始页码: 263
结束页码: 277
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Alpine watershed
; Climate change
; Flow regime
; Scenario-neutral approach
; Seasonality
英文摘要: The aim of this study is to investigate potential impacts of climate change on the seasonality of runoff in a mountainous watershed, located in the Austrian Alps. In order to consider the full range of possible climate variation, hypothetical climate change scenarios were used to force a hydrological model to simulate runoff time series for potential future climate conditions. The variation of runoff seasonality is illustrated with a three-dimensional representation of daily discharge data, directional statistics of annual flood peaks and the analysis of seasonal occurrence of runoff peaks. The results show that changes in temperature and precipitation patterns could have considerable effects on seasonal runoff variability in the investigated watershed. Generally, a possible increase in temperature may cause an increase in seasonal variability of runoff. Further, annual flood peaks are projected to occur throughout the entire year in the investigated Alpine watershed, whereas moderate high flows may increase in winter (December–February). © IWA Publishing 2015. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/67690
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: AlpS – Centre for Climate Change Adaptation, Innsbruck, Austria; Institute of Geography, University of Innsbruck, Austria; Department Landesentwicklung und Zukunftsstrategie, Regional Government of Tyrol, Innsbruck, Austria
Recommended Citation:
Schneeberger K.,Dobler C.,Huttenlau M.,et al. Assessing potential climate change impacts on the seasonality of runoff in an Alpine watershed[J]. Journal of Water and Climate Change,2015-01-01,6(2)