globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2014.027
论文题名:
Methodology for risk assessment of flash flood events due to climate and land-use changes: Application to the Llobregat basin
作者: Velasco M.; Cabello À.; Escaler I.; Barredo J.I.; Barrera-Escoda A.
刊名: Journal of Water and Climate Change
ISSN: 20402244
出版年: 2014
卷: 5, 期:2
起始页码: 204
结束页码: 215
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Flood risk ; IMPRINTS ; Land-use ; Llobregat
英文摘要: Global change, including climate, land-use and socio-economic changes, is expected to increase the stress on the entire water cycle. In the Mediterranean region, extreme events are likely to increase due to climate change. This work, framed in the EC Seventh Framework Programme project IMPRINTS, presents a methodology to obtain future flood risk maps using climate and land-use scenarios, identifying the new potential risk zones. The implementation of this methodology is applied to the Llobregat river basin case study. Two different special report on emission scenarios are used, and although the uncertainties are high, the results obtained are coincident: an increase of flood risk is observed in the whole Low Llobregat area. The climate changes affect the basin globally, increasing the risk homogeneously within the area considered. On the other hand, land-use changes represent urban growth in the floodplains, and hence, local risk increases are found in these spots. © IWA Publishing 2014.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/67711
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作者单位: CETaqua Water Technology Centre, Carretera d'Esplugues 75, 08940, Cornellà, Barcelona, Spain; EC - JRC, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra, Italy; SMC, Catalan Meteorological Service, Berlín 38-48 4a, 08029 Barcelona, Spain; Aqualogy Conocimiento, Diagonal 211, 08018 Barcelona, Spain

Recommended Citation:
Velasco M.,Cabello À.,Escaler I.,et al. Methodology for risk assessment of flash flood events due to climate and land-use changes: Application to the Llobregat basin[J]. Journal of Water and Climate Change,2014-01-01,5(2)
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