DOI: 10.1002/2014GL061792
论文题名: Where and when will we observe cloud changes due to climate warming'
作者: Chepfer H. ; Noel V. ; Winker D. ; Chiriaco M.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9543
EISSN: 1944-9274
出版年: 2014
卷: 41, 期: 23 起始页码: 8387
结束页码: 8395
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate
; clouds
; remote sensing
; spaceborne lidar
Scopus关键词: Climate models
; Clouds
; Geographical distribution
; Remote sensing
; Anthropogenic warming
; Atmospheric model intercomparison projects
; Climate
; Cloud radiative effects
; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
; Space-borne lidar
; Space-borne sensor
; Vertical distributions
; Climate change
; anthropogenic effect
; climate change
; climate modeling
; cloud cover
; cloud radiative forcing
; geographical distribution
; statistical analysis
英文摘要: Climate models predict that the geographic distribution of clouds will change in response to anthropogenic warming, though uncertainties in the existing satellite record are larger than the magnitude of the predicted effects. Here we argue that cloud vertical distribution, observable by active spaceborne sensors, is a more robust signature of climate change. Comparison of Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project present day and +4 K runs from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 shows that cloud radiative effect and total cloud cover do not represent robust signatures of climate change, as predicted changes fall within the range of variability in the current observational record. However, the predicted forced changes in cloud vertical distribution (directly measurable by spaceborne active sensors) are much larger than the currently observed variability and are expected to first appear at a statistically significant level in the upper troposphere, at all latitudes. © 2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84921602172&doi=10.1002%2f2014GL061792&partnerID=40&md5=c5e9cbcf2b82aa7e23054ac0e37675fc
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/6807
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: LMD/IPSL, Pierre and Marie Curie University, Paris, France
Recommended Citation:
Chepfer H.,Noel V.,Winker D.,et al. Where and when will we observe cloud changes due to climate warming'[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2014-01-01,41(23).