DOI: 10.1002/2014GL060404
论文题名: On using the seasonal cycle to interpret extratropical temperature changes since 1950
作者: Mckinnon K.A. ; Huybers P.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9991
EISSN: 1944-9722
出版年: 2014
卷: 41, 期: 13 起始页码: 4676
结束页码: 4684
语种: 英语
英文关键词: energy balance model
; land-ocean interactions
; Relative Land Influence
; surface temperature
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric temperature
; Carbon dioxide
; Heat flux
; Atmospheric general circulation
; Different time scale
; Energy balance models
; Near surface air temperature
; Relative Land Influence
; Sea surface temperature (SST)
; Surface temperatures
; Temperature prediction
; Energy balance
英文摘要: Extratropical near-surface air temperature variability is explored on three different time scales: the seasonal cycle, observed changes in temperature since 1950, and the equilibrium response to increasing CO2 in an atmospheric general circulation simulation with fixed sea surface temperatures. Exploration is undertaken using an energy balance model (EBM) that parameterizes advective land-ocean heat fluxes. The EBM is tuned only to the climatological seasonal cycle yet captures 47% of the variability in observed multidecadal temperature changes in the extratropics and 78% of the variability in the equilibrated model simulation. The subseasonal time scale of atmosphere-surface heat fluxes explains, at least in the context of this EBM, the ability to infer patterns of multidecadal change using information primarily drawn from the seasonal cycle. Key Points A simple model represents land-ocean interactions from wind patterns The model is tuned to the seasonal cycle of temperature Predictions capture significant structure in decadal warming patterns ©2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84903806898&doi=10.1002%2f2014GL060404&partnerID=40&md5=fc554342501161cfb5601befdef057a8
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/7255
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge MA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Mckinnon K.A.,Huybers P.. On using the seasonal cycle to interpret extratropical temperature changes since 1950[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2014-01-01,41(13).