| ISBN: | 9780262518222
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| eISBN: | 9780262291620
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| 专著题名: | Global Catastrophes and Trends |
| 其他题名: | 全球灾难与趋势：下一个50年
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| 作者: | Vaclav Smil
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| 出版者: | MIT Press
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| 出版年: | 2012-09-21
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文摘要: | Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a "fatal discontinuity," a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent, gradual trend. Global catastrophes include volcanic eruptions, viral pandemics, wars, and large-scale terrorist attacks; trends are demographic, environmental, economic, and political shifts that unfold over time. In this provocative book, scientist Vaclav Smil takes a wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at the catastrophes and trends the next fifty years may bring. Smil first looks at rare but cataclysmic events, both natural and human-produced, then at trends of global importance, including the transition from fossil fuels to other energy sources and growing economic and social inequality. He also considers environmental change--in some ways an amalgam of sudden discontinuities and gradual change--and assesses the often misunderstood complexities of global warming. Global Catastrophes and Trends does not come down on the side of either doom-and-gloom scenarios or techno-euphoria. Instead, Smil argues that understanding change will help us reverse negative trends and minimize the risk of catastrophe. |
| 资源类型: | 专著
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/73305
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Vaclav Smil. Global Catastrophes and Trends[M]:MIT Press,2012-09-21.
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