DOI: 10.1002/2014GL059847
论文题名: Wave heights in the 21st century Arctic Ocean simulated with a regional climate model
作者: Khon V.C. ; Mokhov I.I. ; Pogarskiy F.A. ; Babanin A. ; Dethloff K. ; Rinke A. ; Matthes H.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-10117
EISSN: 1944-9848
出版年: 2014
卷: 41, 期: 8 起始页码: 2956
结束页码: 2961
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Arctic Ocean
; Climate changes
; Climate model
; Marine navigation
; Sea waves
; Wave model
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Climate models
; Ocean currents
; Sea ice
; Arctic ocean
; Marine navigation
; Regional climate modeling
; Sea ice concentration
; Sea waves
; Significant wave height
; Wave modeling
; Wind intensification
; Water waves
; climate change
; climate modeling
; maritime transportation
; ocean wave
; regional climate
; sea ice
; trend analysis
; twenty first century
; wave climate
; wave height
; wind profile
; Arctic Ocean
英文摘要: While wave heights globally have been growing over recent decades, observations of their regional trends vary. Simulations of future wave climate can be achieved by coupling wave and climate models. At present, wave heights and their future trends in the Arctic Ocean remain unknown. We use the third-generation wave forecast model WAVEWATCH-III forced by winds and sea ice concentration produced within the regional model HIRHAM, under the anthropogenic scenario SRES-A1B. We find that significant wave height and its extremes will increase over different inner Arctic areas due to reduction of sea ice cover and regional wind intensification in the 21st century. The opposite tendency, with a slight reduction in wave height appears for the Atlantic sector and the Barents Sea. Our results demonstrate the complex wave response in the Arctic Ocean to a combined effect of wind and sea ice forcings in a climate-change scenario during the 21st century. Key Points Significant wave height will increase over the Arctic Ocean in the 21st century Reduction in wave height is expected for the Atlantic sector and the Barents Sea ©2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84900804888&doi=10.1002%2f2014GL059847&partnerID=40&md5=7b028b91b33a5362ff6be2d31f156da3
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/7381
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: A. M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation
Recommended Citation:
Khon V.C.,Mokhov I.I.,Pogarskiy F.A.,et al. Wave heights in the 21st century Arctic Ocean simulated with a regional climate model[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2014-01-01,41(8).