globalchange
DOI: doi:10.1038/nclimate3148
论文题名:
Industrial ecology in integrated assessment models
作者: Stefan Pauliuk; Anders Arvesen; Konstantin Stadler; Edgar G. Hertwich
刊名: Nature Climate Change
ISSN: 1758-706X
EISSN: 1758-6826
出版年: 2017-01-04
卷: Volume:7, 页码:Pages:13;20 (2017)
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate-change mitigation, Socioeconomic scenarios, Energy supply and demand, Climate-change policy, Energy supply and demand
英文摘要:

Technology-rich integrated assessment models (IAMs) address possible technology mixes and future costs of climate change mitigation by generating scenarios for the future industrial system. Industrial ecology (IE) focuses on the empirical analysis of this system. We conduct an in-depth review of five major IAMs from an IE perspective and reveal differences between the two fields regarding the modelling of linkages in the industrial system, focussing on AIM/CGE, GCAM, IMAGE, MESSAGE, and REMIND. IAMs ignore material cycles and recycling, incoherently describe the life-cycle impacts of technology, and miss linkages regarding buildings and infrastructure. Adding IE system linkages to IAMs adds new constraints and allows for studying new mitigation options, both of which may lead to more robust and policy-relevant mitigation scenarios.

URL: http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v7/n1/full/nclimate3148.html
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/740
Appears in Collections:全球变化知识资源中心
气候变化事实与影响
过去全球变化的重建

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Recommended Citation:
Stefan Pauliuk,Anders Arvesen,Konstantin Stadler,et al. Industrial ecology in integrated assessment models[J]. Nature Climate Change,2017-01-04,Volume:7:Pages:13;20 (2017).
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