DOI: | 10.1002/2014GL059345
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论文题名: | Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures |
作者: | Laepple T.; Huybers P.
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刊名: | Geophysical Research Letters
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ISSN: | 0094-10203
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EISSN: | 1944-9934
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出版年: | 2014
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卷: | 41, 期:7 | 起始页码: | 2528
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结束页码: | 2534
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语种: | 英语
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英文关键词: | climate variability
; CMIP5
; HadSST3
; marine temperature variability
; model-data comparison
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Scopus关键词: | Atmospheric temperature
; Climate models
; Data processing
; Oceanography
; Regional planning
; Climate variability
; CMIP5
; HadSST3
; Marine temperatures
; Model-data comparisons
; Computer simulation
; climate modeling
; comparative study
; decadal variation
; global change
; noise
; regional climate
; sea surface temperature
; temperature gradient
; timescale
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英文摘要: | The temperature variability simulated by climate models is generally consistent with that observed in instrumental records at the scale of global averages, but further insight can also be obtained from regional analysis of the marine temperature record. A protocol is developed for comparing model simulations to observations that account for observational noise and missing data. General consistency between Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 model simulations and regional sea surface temperature variability is demonstrated at interannual timescales. At interdecadal timescales, however, the variability diagnosed from observations is significantly greater. Discrepancies are greatest at low latitudes, with none of the 41 models showing equal or greater interdecadal variability the pattern of suppressed variability at longer timescales and smaller spatial scales appears consistent with models generally being too diffusive. Suppressed variability of low-latitude marine temperatures points to underestimation of intrinsic variability and may help explain why few models reproduce the observed temperature trends during the last 15-years. Key Points Methods are introduced to compare instrumental and model SST variability Regional SST variability is underestimated by CMIP5 models at decadal timescales Lack of SST variability may explain the difficulty in simulating recent trends © 2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84897313933&doi=10.1002%2f2014GL059345&partnerID=40&md5=6df3b5000561aced9036c3ea99db5560
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Citation statistics: |
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资源类型: | 期刊论文
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标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/7467
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Appears in Collections: | 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: | Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany
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Recommended Citation: |
Laepple T.,Huybers P.. Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2014-01-01,41(7).
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