DOI: 10.5194/tc-7-889-2013
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84885093406
论文题名: Quantifying present and future glacier melt-water contribution to runoff in a central Himalayan river basin
作者: Prasch M ; , Mauser W ; , Weber M
刊名: Cryosphere
ISSN: 19940416
出版年: 2013
卷: 7, 期: 3 起始页码: 889
结束页码: 904
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate modeling
; data set
; glacier
; hydrological modeling
; lowland environment
; meltwater
; precipitation (chemistry)
; river basin
; runoff
; shrinkage
; snowmelt
; water availability
; water supply
; Himalayas
英文摘要: Water supply of most lowland cultures heavily depends on rain and melt water from the upstream mountains. Especially melt-water release of alpine mountain ranges is usually attributed a pivotal role for the water supply of large downstream regions. Water scarcity is assumed as consequence of glacier shrinkage and possible disappearance due to global climate change (GCC), in particular for large parts of Central and Southeast Asia. In this paper, the application and validation of a coupled modeling approach with regional climate model (RCM) outputs and a process-oriented glacier and hydrological model is presented for the central Himalayan Lhasa River basin despite scarce data availability. Current and possible future contributions of ice melt to runoff along the river network are spatially explicitly shown. Its role among the other water balance components is presented. Although glaciers have retreated and will continue to retreat according to the chosen climate scenarios, water availability is and will be primarily determined by monsoon precipitation and snowmelt. Ice melt from glaciers is and will be a minor runoff component in summer monsoon-dominated Himalayan river basins. © Author(s) 2013.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/74982
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Department of Geography, LMU, Munich, Germany; Commission for Geodesy and Glaciology, Bavarian Academy of Sciences and Humanities, Munich, Germany
Recommended Citation:
Prasch M,, Mauser W,, Weber M. Quantifying present and future glacier melt-water contribution to runoff in a central Himalayan river basin[J]. Cryosphere,2013-01-01,7(3)