globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.5194/tc-10-1201-2016
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84973321092
论文题名:
Small-scale variation of snow in a regional permafrost model
作者: Gisnas K; , Westermann S; , Vikhamar Schuler T; , Melvold K; , Etzelmüller B
刊名: Cryosphere
ISSN: 19940416
出版年: 2016
卷: 10, 期:3
起始页码: 1201
结束页码: 1215
语种: 英语
英文关键词: altitude ; arctic environment ; borehole ; estimation method ; insulation ; land surface ; permafrost ; snow cover ; surface temperature ; temperature anomaly ; thermal regime ; Norway
英文摘要: The strong winds prevalent in high altitude and arctic environments heavily redistribute the snow cover, causing a small-scale pattern of highly variable snow depths. This has profound implications for the ground thermal regime, resulting in highly variable near-surface ground temperatures on the metre scale. Due to asymmetric snow distributions combined with the nonlinear insulating effect of snow, the spatial average ground temperature in a 1 km2 area cannot be determined based on the average snow cover for that area. Land surface or permafrost models employing a coarsely classified average snow depth will therefore not yield a realistic representation of ground temperatures. In this study we employ statistically derived snow distributions within 1 km2 grid cells as input to a regional permafrost model in order to represent sub-grid variability of ground temperatures. This improves the representation of both the average and the total range of ground temperatures. The model reproduces observed sub-grid ground temperature variations of up to 6 °C, and 98% of borehole observations match the modelled temperature range. The mean modelled temperature of the grid cell reproduces the observations with an accuracy of 1.5 °C or better. The observed sub-grid variations in ground surface temperatures from two field sites are very well reproduced, with estimated fractions of sub-zero mean annual ground surface temperatures within ±10 %.We also find that snow distributions within areas of 1 km2 in Norwegian mountain environments are closer to a gamma than to a lognormal theoretical distribution. The modelled permafrost distribution seems to be more sensitive to the choice of distribution function than to the fine-tuning of the coefficient of variation. When incorporating the small-scale variation of snow, the modelled total permafrost area of mainland Norway is nearly twice as large compared to the area obtained with grid-cell average snow depths without a sub-grid approach. © 2016 Author(s).
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/75132
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway; Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Dirct., Oslo, Norway

Recommended Citation:
Gisnas K,, Westermann S,, Vikhamar Schuler T,et al. Small-scale variation of snow in a regional permafrost model[J]. Cryosphere,2016-01-01,10(3)
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