globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.404
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84975230431
论文题名:
Climate change and ecosystem services
作者: Scholes R; J
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2016
卷: 7, 期:4
起始页码: 537
结束页码: 550
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Atmospheric chemistry ; Carbon ; Carbon dioxide ; Earth (planet) ; Ecology ; Economics ; Ecosystems ; Geographical distribution ; Adaptive process ; Atmospheric carbon dioxide ; Ecological systems ; Ecosystem services ; Global-mean temperature ; Land transformation ; Natural systems ; Supply and demand ; Climate change ; air temperature ; carbon dioxide ; climate change ; climate effect ; ecosystem service ; geographical distribution
英文摘要: Studies of the impacts of climate change cover three broad areas: direct effects on humans, their enterprises, and assets; effects on natural systems; and effects on humans via natural systems. ‘Ecosystem services’ fall into the latter category. Future climates continue to allow ecosystem services to be delivered and consumed, in some cases at a level greater than in the past, and in others degraded relative to their historic supply. Across a wide range of ecosystem services, the losses exceed the gains for magnitudes and rates of climate change projected under low-mitigation scenarios. On balance, global mean temperature (GMT) rises greater than 2�C above preindustrial have a spatially patchy but net negative effect on many ecosystem services. The negative impacts occur in many places and affect most people. This apparent asymmetry of impact is hypothesized to have three causes: the rapidity of climate change relative to adaptive processes in social and ecological systems; the exposure of societies to climates not experienced during the period over which complex, agriculturally dependent human societies developed; and the approach toward limits in the Earth system. Covariates of climate change—especially rising atmospheric carbon dioxide and ongoing land transformation—are an inextricable part of the projected loss of services in the coming century and the projected shortfall between supply and demand is strongly demand-driven. The geographical distributions of ecosystem service supply and demand are unequal, and becoming more so. WIREs Clim Change 2016, 7:537–550. doi: 10.1002/wcc.404. For further resources related to this article, please visit the WIREs website. � 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76218
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Global Change and Sustainability Research Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Wits, South Africa

Recommended Citation:
Scholes R,J. Climate change and ecosystem services[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2016-01-01,7(4)
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