| DOI: | 10.1002/wcc.378
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-84951819777
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| 论文题名: | Added value in regional climate modeling |
| 作者: | Rummukainen M
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| 刊名: | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
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| ISSN: | 17577780
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 卷: | 7, 期:1 | | 起始页码: | 145
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| 结束页码: | 159
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Climate models
; Electric power system interconnection
; Climate change projections
; Climate projection
; Climate simulation
; Dynamical downscaling
; Global climate model
; Higher resolution
; Regional climate modeling
; Regional climate models
; Climate change
; adaptive management
; atmospheric general circulation model
; climate change
; climate effect
; climate modeling
; downscaling
; regional climate
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| 英文摘要: | Regional climate modeling is a dynamical downscaling technique applied to the results of global climate models (GCMs) in order to acquire more information on climate simulations and climate change projections. GCMs and regional climate models (RCMs) have undergone considerable development over the past few decades, and both have increased in resolution. The higher-resolution edge of RCMs compared to GCMs still remains, however. This has been demonstrated in a number of specific studies. As GCMs operate on relatively coarse resolutions, they do not resolve more variable land forms and similar features that shape regional-scale climates. RCMs operate on higher resolutions than GCMs, by a factor of 2-10. Some RCMs now explore resolutions down to 1-5 km. This adds value in regions with variable orography, land-sea and other contrasts, as well as in capturing sharp, short-duration and extreme events. In contrast, large-scale and time-averaged fields, not least over smooth terrain and on scales that have been already skillfully resolved in GCMs, are not much affected. RCMs also generate additional detail compared to GCMs when in climate projection mode. Compared to the present-day climate for which observations exist, here the added value aspect is more complex to evaluate. Nevertheless, added value is meaningfully underlined when there is a clear physical context for it to appear in. In addition to climate modeling and model evaluation-related added value considerations, a significant relevant aspect of added value is the provision of regional scale information, including climate change projections, for climate impact, adaptation, and vulnerability research. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76249
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Centre for Environmental and Climate Research, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Rummukainen M. Added value in regional climate modeling[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2016-01-01,7(1)
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