DOI: 10.1002/wcc.341
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84930820786
论文题名: The dynamics of vulnerability: why adapting to climate variability will not always prepare us for climate change
作者: Dilling L ; , Daly M ; E ; , Travis W ; R ; , Wilhelmi O ; V ; , Klein R ; A
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2015
卷: 6, 期: 4 起始页码: 413
结束页码: 425
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climatology
; Decision making
; Dynamics
; Hazards
; Risk perception
; Climate variability
; Connected systems
; Decision makers
; Natural hazard
; One parts
; Public perception
; Unintended consequences
; Climate change
; adaptive management
; climate change
; climate effect
; climate variation
; risk perception
; vulnerability
英文摘要: Recent reports and scholarship suggest that adapting to current climate variability may represent a 'no regrets' strategy for adapting to climate change. Addressing 'adaptation deficits' and other approaches that target existing vulnerabilities are helpful for responding to current climate variability, but we argue that they may not be sufficient for adapting to climate change. Through a review and unique synthesis of the natural hazards and climate adaptation literatures, we identify why the dynamics of vulnerability matter for adaptation efforts. We draw on vulnerability theory and the natural hazards and climate adaptation literatures to outline how adaptation to climate variability, combined with the shifting societal landscape can sometimes lead to unintended consequences and increased vulnerability. Moreover, we argue that public perceptions of risk associated with current climate variability do not necessarily position communities to adapt to the impacts from climate change. We suggest that decision makers faced with adapting to climate change must consider the dynamics of vulnerability in a connected system-how choices made in one part of the system might impact other valued outcomes or even create new vulnerabilities. We conclude by suggesting the need for greater engagement with various publics on the tradeoffs involved in adaptation action and for improving communication about the complicated nature of the dynamics of vulnerability. © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76271
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Environmental Studies Program, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States; Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Geography, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Western Water Assessment, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Recommended Citation:
Dilling L,, Daly M,E,et al. The dynamics of vulnerability: why adapting to climate variability will not always prepare us for climate change[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2015-01-01,6(4)