DOI: 10.1002/wcc.339
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84926507520
论文题名: An appraisal of downscaling methods used in climate change research
作者: Ekström M ; , Grose M ; R ; , Whetton P ; H
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2015
卷: 6, 期: 3 起始页码: 301
结束页码: 319
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate models
; Risk assessment
; Translation (languages)
; Downscaling methods
; Global climate model
; Global climate model simulations
; Regional climate
; Regional climate changes
; Regional risk assessment
; Scale properties
; Spatial resolution
; Climate change
; climate change
; climate modeling
; computer simulation
; downscaling
; global climate
; spatial resolution
; vulnerability
英文摘要: The term 'downscaling' refers to the process of translating information from global climate model simulations to a finer spatial resolution. There are numerous methods by which this translation of information can occur. For users of downscaled information, it is important to have some understanding of the properties of different methods (in terms of their capabilities and limitations to convey the change signal, as simulated by the global model), as these dictate the type of applications that the downscaled information can be used for in impact, adaptation, and vulnerability research. This article provides an appraisal of downscaling in terms of its perceived purpose and value for informing on plausible impacts due to climate change and for underpinning regional risk assessments. The concepts climate realism and physical plausibility of change are introduced to qualify the broad scale properties associated with different categories of downscaling approaches; the former concerning the skill of different approaches to represent regional climate characteristics and the latter their skill in simulating regional climate change. Aspects of change not captured by global climate models, due to resolution or regional factors, may be captured by downscaling. If these aspects are of interest, then downscaling may be useful once it has been demonstrated to add value. For cases where the broad scale change to the mean climate is of interest, or where there is no demonstrated added value from downscaling, then there is a wide range of regionalization methods that are suitable for practitioners in the impact, adaptation, and vulnerability field. © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76280
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Land and Water Flagship, CSIRO, Canberra, ACT, Australia; Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, CSIRO, Aspendale, VIC, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Ekström M,, Grose M,R,et al. An appraisal of downscaling methods used in climate change research[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2015-01-01,6(3)