DOI: 10.1002/wcc.316
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84922664622
论文题名: Climate change in Argentina: Trends, projections, impacts and adaptation
作者: Barros V ; R ; , Boninsegna J ; A ; , Camilloni I ; A ; , Chidiak M ; , Magrín G ; O ; , Rusticucci M
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2015
卷: 6, 期: 2 起始页码: 151
结束页码: 169
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Arid regions
; Climatology
; Economics
; Land use
; Precipitation (meteorology)
; Rain
; Urban planning
; Adaptation policies
; Contingency planning
; Early Warning System
; Emissions scenarios
; Extreme precipitation events
; Impacts and adaptation
; Increased temperature
; Temperature extremes
; Climate change
; adaptive management
; agricultural production
; climate change
; crop yield
; early warning system
; nature-society relations
; precipitation intensity
; temperature profile
; trend analysis
; Argentina
英文摘要: In most of Argentina, the warming since 1901 was a little lower than the global average, although with strong trends in temperature extremes and in heat waves during the most recent decades. There was a remarkable increase in precipitation over most of subtropical Argentina, especially since 1960. This has favored agriculture yields and the extension of crop lands into semiarid regions, but this increase also came with more frequent heavy rainfalls and consequent flooding of rural and urban areas. Since the early 1970s, the main rivers of the Plata Basin have increased their mean flows, but this was attributable not only to increased precipitation, but also to land use changes. In contrast, over the Andes Mountains, reduced rainfall and increased temperature has led to glaciers receding and reduced river flows. Climate projections for the first half of this century maintain observed trends and raise additional concerns that in most cases can be dealt with timely adaptation policies. However, by the end of this century, under an extreme emissions scenario, the projected warming reaches 3.5°C in the north of the country with respect to present-day conditions. There is insufficient knowledge to assume that this warming would not create severe damages to the people and the economy of Argentina. Because of the damages and casualties that heat waves and extreme precipitation events are already producing, the first and most urgent adaptation required is to reinforce early warning systems and contingency planning to cope with climatic extremes and their consequences on health. © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76290
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Departamento Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Oceanos, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, UBA/CIMA, CONICET, Buenos Aires, Argentina; IANIGLA, CRICYT, Mendoza, Argentina; Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina; Clima y Agua, INTA Castelar, Hurlingham, Argentina; Departamento Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Oceános, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, UBA/CONICET, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Recommended Citation:
Barros V,R,, Boninsegna J,et al. Climate change in Argentina: Trends, projections, impacts and adaptation[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2015-01-01,6(2)