DOI: 10.1002/wcc.314
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84911974140
论文题名: Assessment of vulnerability to climate change using indicators: A meta-analysis of the literature
作者: Tonmoy F ; N ; , El-Zein A ; , Hinkel J
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2014
卷: 5, 期: 6 起始页码: 775
结束页码: 792
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Biodiversity
; Disaster prevention
; Disasters
; Risk assessment
; Adaptation policies
; Aggregation methods
; Assessment methodologies
; Methodological aspects
; Methodological problems
; Multiple attribute utility
; Representative sample
; Vulnerability assessments
; Climate change
英文摘要: Climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) can inform adaptation policy and help in incorporating climate futures in planning. The literature on CCVA stems from a number of research paradigms (e.g., risk assessment, natural disaster management, and urban planning), therefore making it difficult to extract major directions and methodologies from this body of work. A large number of assessments are based, partly or totally, on indicators which bring up specific methodological problems and constraints. In this study, first, we discuss the most important methodological challenges facing indicator-based vulnerability assessment (IBVA) based on a set of key conceptual papers in the field. Second, we conduct a meta-analysis of a representative sample of peer-reviewed IBVA studies, to identify how current research on IBVA is engaging with these challenges. We attempt to elicit major thematic and methodological trends in this corpus with specific focus on issues related to geographical and temporal scales, aggregation, and nonlinearity. We find that health of ecosystems and biodiversity (28%), freshwater quantity and quality (12%), and public health (10%) have attracted the highest number of studies. Less than a third of the papers in our sample give some consideration to uncertainty and nonlinearity. Assessments typically use aggregation methods that are based on the Multiple Attribute Utility Theory despite the fact that IBVA rarely satisfies the theoretical requirements of this approach. A small percentage of IBVA studies critically scrutinize prevalent assessment methodologies or attempt to develop new ones, despite the raised questions in key theoretical papers about its methodological aspects. © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76302
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: School of Civil Engineering, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia; Adaptation and Social Learning, Global Climate Forum (GCF), Berlin, Germany
Recommended Citation:
Tonmoy F,N,, El-Zein A,et al. Assessment of vulnerability to climate change using indicators: A meta-analysis of the literature[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2014-01-01,5(6)