DOI: 10.1002/wcc.271
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84961291433
论文题名: Interactions between climate change and land use change on biodiversity: Attribution problems, risks, and opportunities
作者: Oliver T ; H ; , Morecroft M ; D
刊名: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
ISSN: 17577780
出版年: 2014
卷: 5, 期: 3 起始页码: 317
结束页码: 335
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Biodiversity
; Economic and social effects
; Land use
; Population statistics
; Risk assessment
; Analytical design
; Conflict of interest
; Conflicts of interest
; Conservation management
; Demographic parameters
; Interaction effect
; Patch occupancies
; Population persistences
; Climate change
; analytical method
; biodiversity
; climate change
; climate effect
; conservation management
; design
; global change
; land management
; land use change
; nature-society relations
; risk assessment
英文摘要: Global change drivers are known to interact in their effects on biodiversity, but much research to date ignores this complexity. As a consequence, there are problems in the attribution of biodiversity change to different drivers and, therefore, our ability to manage habitats and landscapes appropriately. Few studies explicitly acknowledge and account for interactive (i.e., nonadditive) effects of land use and climate change on biodiversity. One reason is that the mechanisms by which drivers interact are poorly understood. We evaluate such mechanisms, including interactions between demographic parameters, evolutionary trade-offs and synergies and threshold effects of population size and patch occupancy on population persistence. Other reasons for the lack of appropriate research are limited data availability and analytical issues in addressing interaction effects. We highlight the influence that attribution errors can have on biodiversity projections and discuss experimental designs and analytical tools suited to this challenge. Finally, we summarize the risks and opportunities provided by the existence of interaction effects. Risks include ineffective conservation management; but opportunities also arise, whereby the negative impacts of climate change on biodiversity can be reduced through appropriate land management as an adaptation measure. We hope that increasing the understanding of key mechanisms underlying interaction effects and discussing appropriate experimental and analytical designs for attribution will help researchers, policy makers, and conservation practitioners to better minimize risks and exploit opportunities provided by land use-climate change interactions. For further resources related to this article, please visit the WIREs website. Conflict of interest: The authors have declared no conflicts of interest for this article. © 2014 The Authors. WIREs Climate Change. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/76311
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom; Natural England, Sheffield, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
Oliver T,H,, Morecroft M,et al. Interactions between climate change and land use change on biodiversity: Attribution problems, risks, and opportunities[J]. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,2014-01-01,5(3)